MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over SYNA overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

SYNA

Synaptics Incorporated

60
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

SYNA trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SYNA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Weak

SYNA's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

SYNA PE Valuation

SYNA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

SYNA Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SYNA to show an outlook.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SYNA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SYNA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$174.97
Downside-32%$80.20

Calculated from the latest close: $117.98 on Nov 12.

SYNA trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over SYNA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SYNA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.97Q1 2024: $-2.69Q2 2025: $-1.22Q3 2025: $-1.17Q4 2025: $-1.60Q1 2026: $-1.25Q2 2026: $-12.62Q3 2026: $-12.54
Q4 2023: $-1.97Q1 2024: $-2.69Q2 2025: $-1.22Q3 2025: $-1.17Q4 2025: $-1.60Q1 2026: $-1.25Q2 2026: $-12.62Q3 2026: $-12.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$12.54-$11.37
Q2 2026-$12.62-$11.40
Q1 2024-$2.69-161%
Q4 2023-$1.97-134%
Q3 2023-$1.19-117%
Q2 2023$1.83-71%
Q1 2023$4.44-6.3%
Q4 2022$5.77+65%

SYNA lost $12.54 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over SYNA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SYNA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $237MQ1 2024: $237MQ2 2024: $247MQ3 2024: $258MQ4 2024: $267MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $283MQ3 2025: $293MQ4 2025: $303MQ1 2026: $294MQ2 2026: $308MQ3 2026: $294M
Q4 2023: $237MQ1 2024: $237MQ2 2024: $247MQ3 2024: $258MQ4 2024: $267MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $283MQ3 2025: $293MQ4 2025: $303MQ1 2026: $294MQ2 2026: $308MQ3 2026: $294M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$294M+0.5%
Q2 2026$308M+8.9%
Q1 2026$294.2M+10%
Q4 2025$302.5M+13%
Q3 2025$292.5M+14%
Q2 2025$282.8M+14%
Q1 2025$266.6M+12%
Q4 2024$267.2M+13%

SYNA's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $294M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

SYNA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: −$23MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $68MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: −$19M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: −$23MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $68MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: −$19M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$18.6M-203%
Q2 2026$55.3M+9.3%
Q1 2026$9.9M-85%
Q4 2025$18.2M+0.6%
Q3 2025$18M+$38.5M
Q2 2025$50.6M-12%
Q1 2025$68M+$90.7M
Q4 2024$18.1M-37%

SYNA has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over SYNA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SYNA Total Shares

Q3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
Q3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+500K shares
1 year+1.5%+600K shares
3 years-3.2%-1.3M shares
5 years+15%+5M shares

SYNA has 39M diluted shares, up 1.5% from a year ago, despite $86M in buybacks over the past year.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over SYNA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SYNA Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 8.7x
Q2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 8.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.7xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q3 20234.7xHigh
Q2 20230.3xVery low
Q1 20230.2xVery low
Q4 20220.4xVery low
Q3 20220.3xVery low
Q2 20220.4xVery low

SYNA's net debt is about 8.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

SYNA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic86.8Overbought

SYNA's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SYNA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSYNASector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

SYNA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

SYNA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.31.4% above
20 week MA$110.66.7% above
50 week MA$100.817% above
100 week MA$83.841% above
200 week MA$88.234% above

SYNA has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

SYNA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$66.9$86.2+29%
2021$86.2$278.3+223%
2022$278.3$94.2-66%
2023$94.2$114.1+21%
2024$114.1$77.2-32%
2025$77.2$73.5-4.9%
2026 YTD$73.5$118.0+61%

SYNA has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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