MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over SVCO overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
SVCO
Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock
SVCO's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SVCO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
SVCO's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
SVCO PE Valuation
SVCO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 32x next year's earnings.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
SVCO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
SVCO has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over SVCO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
SVCO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.23 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.66 | +$0.33 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.70 | +$0.34 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.91 | +$1.36 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.39 | +$0.14 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.99 | +$0.75 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.04 | +$0.50 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$2.26 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.53 | -$1.48 |
SVCO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.66 per share over the past year, against $2.27 at its worst in early 2025.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over SVCO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over SVCO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SVCO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.3M | -13% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.8M | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.8M | +26% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.3M | +2.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.7M | +70% |
| Q2 2025 | $12M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.1M | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.9M | +30% |
SVCO's revenue is growing: $16M last quarter, down 13% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -26% | +24 points |
| Q2 2026 | -22% | +62 points |
| Q1 2026 | -32% | +108 points |
| Q4 2025 | -37% | -51 points |
| Q3 2025 | -50% | +17 points |
| Q2 2025 | -84% | +168 points |
| Q1 2025 | -139% | -154 points |
| Q4 2024 | 14% | +16 points |
SVCO's operating margin was −26% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT has the edge over SVCO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SVCO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$781K | +$7.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$5.5M | +$10.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11M | -$9.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$9.5M | -$246K |
| Q3 2025 | -$8.2M | -$6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$15.6M | -$9.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.2M | +$1.4M |
| Q4 2024 | -$9.3M | -1378% |
SVCO has burned cash in most quarters: −$27M over the past year, against −$34M the year before.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over SVCO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
SVCO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.9% | +946K shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +3.7M shares |
| 3 years | +70% | +14M shares |
SVCO has 34M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
SVCO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
SVCO has more cash than debt.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
SVCO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.5 | Neutral |
SVCO's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SVCO PE vs Technology Sector
SVCO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has stronger trend alignment. MSFT is above 4 of 5 weekly averages versus SVCO above 3 of 4.
SVCO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $7.31 | 1.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $7.62 | 2.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.23 | 3% above |
| 100 week MA | $6.39 | 17% above |
SVCO's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 100-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
SVCO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $18.9 | $8.11 | -57% |
| 2025 | $8.11 | $4.25 | -48% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.25 | $7.45 | +75% |
SVCO has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.