MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over STNE overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
STNE
StoneCo Ltd.
STNE trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
STNE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
STNE's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
STNE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 3.3x | $7.72 | — |
| Cheap | 7.7x | $17.74 | +130% |
| Fair | 61x | $141 | +1729% |
| Expensive | 131x | $303 | +3821% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
STNE has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
STNE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect STNE's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over STNE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
STNE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.31 | +$3.07 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.37 | +$3.23 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.49 | +$2.46 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.64 | -156% |
| Q2 2023 | $0.44 | +$2.08 |
| Q1 2023 | $0.00 | +$0.97 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.30 | +$0.39 |
| Q3 2022 | -$0.79 | -$0.74 |
STNE has returned to profit: it earned $2.31 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over STNE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over STNE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
STNE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $597.5M | +1.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $640.6M | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $633.7M | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $638.6M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $588.4M | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $569.3M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $625M | +13% |
| Q3 2024 | $575.3M | +8.8% |
STNE's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $598M last quarter, up 1.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 41% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 51% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 51% | +2.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 56% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | 48% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 49% | +0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 48% | +1.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 46% | -1.6 points |
STNE's operating margin was 41% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
STNE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $303.4M | +2369% |
| Q1 2026 | $555M | +820% |
| Q4 2025 | $99.1M | +$210.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$236.2M | -$159.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $12.3M | +$202.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $60.3M | +$558M |
| Q4 2024 | -$111.6M | +$6.5M |
| Q3 2024 | -$76.9M | -$56.7M |
STNE has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
STNE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3.2% | -8M shares |
| 1 year | -11% | -30.5M shares |
| 3 years | -27% | -93M shares |
| 5 years | -22% | -69.4M shares |
| Available history | -13% | -36.8M shares |
STNE has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $139.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $93.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $235.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $83.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $71.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $151M |
| Q4 2024 | $108.9M |
| Q3 2024 | $132.9M |
STNE spent $552M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 19% from the year before.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over STNE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
STNE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
STNE's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
STNE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.0 | Oversold |
STNE's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
STNE PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | STNE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 3.3x | 28x | 88% below |
| PE % | 1 | 35 | 34 pts below |
STNE has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over STNE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
STNE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.63 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 23% below |
| 50 week MA | $12.3 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.9 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.9 | 40% below |
STNE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over STNE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
STNE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $39.1 | $85.2 | +118% |
| 2021 | $85.2 | $17.4 | -80% |
| 2022 | $17.4 | $9.60 | -45% |
| 2023 | $9.60 | $18.0 | +88% |
| 2024 | $18.0 | $8.19 | -55% |
| 2025 | $8.19 | $14.8 | +81% |
| 2026 YTD | $14.8 | $7.72 | -48% |
STNE's yearly returns have swung widely, from +118% in 2020 to −80% in 2021. It's down 48% so far in 2026.