MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over SSTI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
SSTI
SoundThinking, Inc.
SSTI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SSTI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
SSTI's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
SSTI PE Valuation
SSTI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
SSTI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
SSTI has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over SSTI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
SSTI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.77 | -$0.93 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.29 | -$0.50 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.16 | -$0.55 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.74 | -$0.02 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.84 | -$0.74 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.79 | -$0.65 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.61 | -$0.31 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.72 | -$0.50 |
SSTI lost $1.77 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over SSTI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over SSTI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SSTI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M | -0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.9M | -7.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $24.2M | -15% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.8M | +5.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.1M | -4.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.9M | -4% |
| Q1 2025 | $28.3M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $23.4M | -10% |
SSTI's revenue is shrinking: $25M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -33% | -25 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | -8.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | -28% | -24 points |
| Q4 2025 | -10% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -8.2% | -4.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | -4.3% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -16% | -33 points |
SSTI's operating margin was −33% last quarter, down 25 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT has the edge over SSTI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SSTI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1M | -35% |
| Q2 2026 | -$8.1M | -$5.5M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.5M | -$474K |
| Q4 2025 | $3.7M | +$5.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $4.9M | -61% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7M | -194% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1M | -137% |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.2M | -$1.8M |
SSTI's free cash flow was −$3M over the past year, against −$1M the year before.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over SSTI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
SSTI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +80.9K shares |
| 1 year | +3.3% | +427K shares |
| 3 years | +5.7% | +707K shares |
| 5 years | +13% | +1.5M shares |
| Available history | +11% | +1.3M shares |
SSTI has 13M diluted shares, up 3.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $2M |
| Q2 2025 | $470,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $504,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $1,000 |
SSTI hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
SSTI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | -10.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
SSTI has more cash than debt.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
SSTI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.8 | Overbought |
SSTI's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SSTI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SSTI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
SSTI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over SSTI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SSTI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $7.98 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $7.50 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $7.37 | 12% above |
| 100 week MA | $10.3 | 20% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.2 | 46% below |
SSTI has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over SSTI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SSTI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $25.3 | $38.5 | +52% |
| 2021 | $38.5 | $30.6 | -20% |
| 2022 | $30.6 | $33.3 | +8.6% |
| 2023 | $33.3 | $25.5 | -23% |
| 2024 | $25.5 | $12.8 | -50% |
| 2025 | $12.8 | $8.05 | -37% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.05 | $8.25 | +2.5% |
SSTI has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 2.5% so far in 2026.