MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over SPT overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

SPT

Sprout Social, Inc.

65
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

SPT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SPT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Unavailable

SPT's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

SPT PE Valuation

SPT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

SPT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SPT's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SPT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SPT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+53%$17.65
Downside-34%$7.66

Calculated from the latest close: $11.53 on Nov 12.

SPT trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over SPT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SPT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.19Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.30Q3 2024: $-1.19Q4 2024: $-1.09Q1 2025: $-1.04Q2 2025: $-0.95Q3 2025: $-0.81Q4 2025: $-0.74Q1 2026: $-0.66Q2 2026: $-0.50Q3 2026: $-0.45Forward: $1.57
Q4 2023: $-1.19Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.30Q3 2024: $-1.19Q4 2024: $-1.09Q1 2025: $-1.04Q2 2025: $-0.95Q3 2025: $-0.81Q4 2025: $-0.74Q1 2026: $-0.66Q2 2026: $-0.50Q3 2026: $-0.45Forward: $1.57
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.57—
Q3 2026-$0.45+$0.36
Q2 2026-$0.50+$0.45
Q1 2026-$0.66+$0.38
Q4 2025-$0.74+$0.35
Q3 2025-$0.81+$0.38
Q2 2025-$0.95+$0.35
Q1 2025-$1.04+$0.20
Q4 2024-$1.09+$0.10

SPT is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.45 per share over the past year, against $2.36 at its worst in late 2019.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over SPT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SPT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $107MQ1 2025: $109MQ2 2025: $112MQ3 2025: $116MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $121MQ2 2026: $124MQ3 2026: $125M
Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $107MQ1 2025: $109MQ2 2025: $112MQ3 2025: $116MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $121MQ2 2026: $124MQ3 2026: $125M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$125.1M+8.3%
Q2 2026$123.8M+11%
Q1 2026$121.5M+11%
Q4 2025$120.9M+13%
Q3 2025$115.6M+13%
Q2 2025$111.8M+12%
Q1 2025$109.3M+13%
Q4 2024$107.1M+14%

SPT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $125M last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

SPT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$10.2M+20%
Q2 2026$7.8M+88%
Q1 2026$24.1M+44%
Q4 2025$9.9M+204%
Q3 2025$8.5M+0.4%
Q2 2025$4.2M+166%
Q1 2025$16.7M+66%
Q4 2024$3.3M+$6.5M

SPT has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over SPT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SPT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 60M
Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 60M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-576K shares
1 year+1.2%+736K shares
3 years+6.9%+3.8M shares
5 years+11%+5.8M shares
Available history+157%+36.5M shares

SPT has 60M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SPT Net Leverage

SPT's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

SPT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.0Neutral
Stochastic64.1Neutral

SPT's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SPT PE vs Technology Sector

SPT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over SPT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SPT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.23.1% above
20 week MA$10.213% above
50 week MA$8.7132% above
100 week MA$14.621% below
200 week MA$30.662% below

SPT has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 62% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over SPT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SPT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2019$16.6$16.1-2.9%
2020$16.1$50.0+210%
2021$50.0$94.7+89%
2022$94.7$56.0-41%
2023$56.0$61.4+9.8%
2024$61.4$31.4-49%
2025$31.4$11.1-65%
2026 YTD$11.1$11.5+3.9%

SPT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +210% in 2020 to −65% in 2025. It's up 3.9% so far in 2026.

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