MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 27x earnings, below its usual 34x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

SOGP

Sound Group Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score SOGP yet.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SOGP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
Unavailable
Strong

SOGP's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523โ€”
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523โ€”
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over SOGP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SOGP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.3x2.5x3.8x5.1x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.3x2.5x3.8x5.1x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current1.4x$10.28โ€”
Cheap1.5x$0.06-99%
Fair1.7x$0.07-99%
Expensive2.9x$0.12-99%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOGP's PE is 1.4x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

MSFT has the edge over SOGP on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

SOGP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect SOGP's losses to grow, with revenue growing.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MSFT and SOGP's risk to reward.

SOGP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $10.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MSFT and SOGP's risk to reward.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over SOGP in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

SOGP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2020: $-0.41Q4 2021: $-0.20Q4 2022: $0.12Q4 2023: $-0.02Q4 2024: $-0.01Q4 2025: $0.04
Q4 2020: $-0.41Q4 2021: $-0.20Q4 2022: $0.12Q4 2023: $-0.02Q4 2024: $-0.01Q4 2025: $0.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025$0.04+$0.05
Q4 2024-$0.01+$0.01
Q4 2023-$0.02-117%
Q4 2022$0.12+$0.32
Q4 2021-$0.20+$0.21

SOGP has returned to profit: it earned $0.04 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOGP Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2018: --Q2 2018: --Q3 2018: --Q4 2018: --Q4 2019: $177MQ4 2020: $226MQ4 2021: $318MQ4 2022: $328MQ4 2023: $311MQ4 2024: $305MQ4 2025: $466M
Q1 2018: --Q2 2018: --Q3 2018: --Q4 2018: --Q4 2019: $177MQ4 2020: $226MQ4 2021: $318MQ4 2022: $328MQ4 2023: $311MQ4 2024: $305MQ4 2025: $466M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$465.6M+53%
Q4 2024$304.9M-1.9%
Q4 2023$310.9M-5.2%
Q4 2022$327.9M+3.1%
Q4 2021$318.1M+41%
Q4 2020$225.5M+27%

SOGP has the edge over MSFT in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

SOGP Free Cash Flow

Q1 2018: โˆ’$4MQ2 2018: โˆ’$4MQ3 2018: $1MQ4 2018: $7MQ4 2019: โˆ’$19MQ4 2020: $3MQ4 2021: โˆ’$9MQ4 2022: $19MQ4 2023: โˆ’$18MQ4 2024: โˆ’$6MQ4 2025: $42M
Q1 2018: โˆ’$4MQ2 2018: โˆ’$4MQ3 2018: $1MQ4 2018: $7MQ4 2019: โˆ’$19MQ4 2020: $3MQ4 2021: โˆ’$9MQ4 2022: $19MQ4 2023: โˆ’$18MQ4 2024: โˆ’$6MQ4 2025: $42M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025$41.5M+$47.1M
Q4 2024-$5.6M+$12.8M
Q4 2023-$18.5M-199%
Q4 2022$18.7M+$27.8M
Q4 2021-$9.1M-423%
Q4 2020$2.8M+$21.4M
Q4 2019-$18.6M-382%

SOGP's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $36M over the past year.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over SOGP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOGP Total Shares

Q4 2019: 26MQ4 2020: 88MQ4 2021: 99MQ4 2022: 104MQ4 2023: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1BQ4 2025: 944M
Q4 2019: 26MQ4 2020: 88MQ4 2021: 99MQ4 2022: 104MQ4 2023: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1BQ4 2025: 944M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-8.1%-83.2M shares
1 year+851%+844M shares

SOGP has 944M diluted shares, up 851% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SOGP Net Leverage

Q4 2022: -5.8x
Q4 2022: -5.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2022-5.8xNet Cash

SOGP has more cash than debt.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

SOGP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.3Neutral
Stochastic22.6Neutral

SOGP's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SOGP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSOGPSector medianRelative
PE1.4x28x95% below
PE %123523 pts below

SOGP has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over SOGP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOGP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.84.5% below
20 week MA$11.28.2% below
50 week MA$12.819% below
100 week MA$9.745.5% above
200 week MA$7.1145% above

SOGP has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 45% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over SOGP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOGP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$116.3$40.6-65%
2021$40.6$17.5-57%
2022$17.5$6.41-63%
2023$6.41$2.74-57%
2024$2.74$2.03-26%
2025$2.03$12.7+528%
2026 YTD$12.7$10.3-19%

SOGP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +528% in 2025 to โˆ’65% in 2020. It's down 19% so far in 2026.

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