MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over SNPS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

SNPS

Synopsys, Inc.

56
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation25/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

SNPS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SNPS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Stable

SNPS's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over SNPS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SNPS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x57x85x113x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x57x85x113x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$463—
Cheap43x$244-47%
Fair56x$322-30%
Expensive69x$396-15%
Current81x$463—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SNPS's PE is in its expensive range at 81x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

SNPS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SNPS has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SNPS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SNPS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$563.79
Downside-30%$321.57

Calculated from the latest close: $462.69 on Nov 12.

SNPS trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over SNPS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SNPS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.92Q1 2024: $9.06Q2 2024: $9.18Q3 2024: $9.62Q4 2024: $14.51Q1 2025: $13.51Q2 2025: $13.84Q3 2025: $12.73Q4 2025: $8.04Q1 2026: $6.49Q2 2026: $4.37Q3 2026: $5.71Forward: $18.70
Q4 2023: $7.92Q1 2024: $9.06Q2 2024: $9.18Q3 2024: $9.62Q4 2024: $14.51Q1 2025: $13.51Q2 2025: $13.84Q3 2025: $12.73Q4 2025: $8.04Q1 2026: $6.49Q2 2026: $4.37Q3 2026: $5.71Forward: $18.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$18.70+228%
Q3 2026$5.71-55%
Q2 2026$4.37-68%
Q1 2026$6.49-52%
Q4 2025$8.04-45%
Q3 2025$12.73+32%
Q2 2025$13.84+51%
Q1 2025$13.51+49%
Q4 2024$14.51+83%

SNPS's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $5.71 over the past year, against $14.51 in late 2024. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

SNPS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B+42%
Q2 2026$2.3B+42%
Q1 2026$2.4B+66%
Q4 2025$2.3B+38%
Q3 2025$1.7B+14%
Q2 2025$1.6B+10%
Q1 2025$1.5B-12%
Q4 2024$1.6B+2.3%

SNPS's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $2.5B last quarter, up 42% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

SNPS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $273MQ1 2024: −$128MQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $415MQ4 2024: $558MQ1 2025: −$108MQ2 2025: $220MQ3 2025: $632MQ4 2025: $605MQ1 2026: $822MQ2 2026: $575MQ3 2026: $746M
Q4 2023: $273MQ1 2024: −$128MQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $415MQ4 2024: $558MQ1 2025: −$108MQ2 2025: $220MQ3 2025: $632MQ4 2025: $605MQ1 2026: $822MQ2 2026: $575MQ3 2026: $746M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$746.3M+18%
Q2 2026$574.7M+162%
Q1 2026$821.5M+$929.7M
Q4 2025$605.2M+8.4%
Q3 2025$632.4M+52%
Q2 2025$219.8M-50%
Q1 2025-$108.2M+$20M
Q4 2024$558.4M+105%

SNPS has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over SNPS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SNPS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 155MQ1 2024: 155MQ2 2024: 156MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 156MQ1 2025: 156MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 166MQ1 2026: 191MQ2 2026: 192MQ3 2026: 192M
Q4 2023: 155MQ1 2024: 155MQ2 2024: 156MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 156MQ1 2025: 156MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 166MQ1 2026: 191MQ2 2026: 192MQ3 2026: 192M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+175K shares
1 year+19%+30.6M shares
3 years+24%+37.4M shares
5 years+23%+35.4M shares
Available history+25%+38.1M shares

SNPS has 192M diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over SNPS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SNPS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.4xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 6.7xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 3.7xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.4xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 6.7xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 3.7xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20263.7xElevated
Q1 20264.1xHigh
Q4 20256.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.3xNet Cash

SNPS's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

SNPS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.8Neutral
Stochastic65.2Neutral

SNPS's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over SNPS on valuation relative to its sector.

SNPS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSNPSSector medianRelative
PE81x28x191% above
PE %953560 pts above

SNPS is trading at 81x earnings, a 191% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over SNPS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SNPS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$461.40.3% above
20 week MA$428.77.9% above
50 week MA$447.43.4% above
100 week MA$469.71.5% below
200 week MA$479.93.6% below

SNPS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 3.6% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over SNPS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SNPS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$140.6$256.3+82%
2021$256.3$366.2+43%
2022$366.2$320.2-13%
2023$320.2$514.9+61%
2024$514.9$490.9-4.7%
2025$490.9$477.1-2.8%
2026 YTD$477.1$462.7-3%

SNPS has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 3% so far in 2026.

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