MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over SNOW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

SNOW

Snowflake Inc.

71
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

SNOW offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SNOW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Strong
Unavailable

SNOW's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

SNOW PE Valuation

SNOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

SNOW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

SNOW has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SNOW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SNOW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+61%$479.82
Downside-35%$194.51

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

SNOW trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over SNOW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SNOW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.68Q1 2024: $-2.55Q2 2024: $-2.80Q3 2024: $-3.06Q4 2024: $-3.39Q1 2025: $-3.86Q2 2025: $-4.20Q3 2025: $-4.14Q4 2025: $-4.03Q1 2026: $-3.95Q2 2026: $-3.52Q3 2026: $-3.18Forward: $2.74
Q4 2023: $-2.68Q1 2024: $-2.55Q2 2024: $-2.80Q3 2024: $-3.06Q4 2024: $-3.39Q1 2025: $-3.86Q2 2025: $-4.20Q3 2025: $-4.14Q4 2025: $-4.03Q1 2026: $-3.95Q2 2026: $-3.52Q3 2026: $-3.18Forward: $2.74
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.74—
Q3 2026-$3.18+$0.96
Q2 2026-$3.52+$0.68
Q1 2026-$3.95-$0.09
Q4 2025-$4.03-$0.64
Q3 2025-$4.14-$1.08
Q2 2025-$4.20-$1.40
Q1 2025-$3.86-$1.31
Q4 2024-$3.39-$0.71

SNOW is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $3.18 per share over the past year, against $4.20 at its worst in early 2025.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

SNOW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $734MQ1 2024: $775MQ2 2024: $829MQ3 2024: $869MQ4 2024: $942MQ1 2025: $987MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $734MQ1 2024: $775MQ2 2024: $829MQ3 2024: $869MQ4 2024: $942MQ1 2025: $987MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+35%
Q2 2026$1.4B+33%
Q1 2026$1.3B+30%
Q4 2025$1.2B+29%
Q3 2025$1.1B+32%
Q2 2025$1B+26%
Q1 2025$986.8M+27%
Q4 2024$942.1M+28%

SNOW has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

SNOW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $332MQ2 2024: $339MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $88MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: $765MQ2 2026: $233MQ3 2026: $84M
Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $332MQ2 2024: $339MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $88MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: $765MQ2 2026: $233MQ3 2026: $84M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$83.8M+44%
Q2 2026$232.8M+27%
Q1 2026$765.1M+82%
Q4 2025$113.6M+29%
Q3 2025$58.2M-10%
Q2 2025$183.4M-46%
Q1 2025$421.4M+27%
Q4 2024$88.3M-21%

SNOW has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over SNOW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SNOW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 329MQ1 2024: 328MQ2 2024: 335MQ3 2024: 335MQ4 2024: 330MQ1 2025: 333MQ2 2025: 334MQ3 2025: 335MQ4 2025: 340MQ1 2026: 337MQ2 2026: 345MQ3 2026: 349M
Q4 2023: 329MQ1 2024: 328MQ2 2024: 335MQ3 2024: 335MQ4 2024: 330MQ1 2025: 333MQ2 2025: 334MQ3 2025: 335MQ4 2025: 340MQ1 2026: 337MQ2 2026: 345MQ3 2026: 349M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+3.9M shares
1 year+4.2%+14M shares
3 years+6.7%+21.9M shares
5 years+17%+51.5M shares
Available history+47%+111M shares

SNOW has 349M diluted shares, up 4.2% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SNOW Net Leverage

SNOW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

SNOW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic25.2Neutral

SNOW's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SNOW PE vs Technology Sector

SNOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over SNOW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SNOW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$319.96.6% below
20 week MA$311.54.1% below
50 week MA$238.625% above
100 week MA$218.837% above
200 week MA$187.559% above

SNOW has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 59% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

SNOW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$240.0$323.0+35%
2021$323.0$349.2+8.1%
2022$349.2$138.5-60%
2023$138.5$199.0+44%
2024$199.0$158.7-20%
2025$158.7$223.9+41%
2026 YTD$223.9$298.7+33%

SNOW has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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