MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over SITM overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
SITM
SiTime Corporation
SITM offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SITM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
SITM's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over SITM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SITM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 26x | $471 | — |
| Cheap | 50x | $51.83 | -89% |
| Fair | 119x | $123 | -74% |
| Expensive | 409x | $425 | -9.7% |
| Current | 452x | $471 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SITM's PE is in its expensive range at 452x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
SITM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SITM has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over SITM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SITM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $18.02 | +1633% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.04 | +$4.00 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.59 | +$4.07 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.91 | +$2.89 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.72 | +$2.33 |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.96 | +$1.18 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.48 | +$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.80 | +$0.33 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.05 | -$0.42 |
SITM has returned to profit: it earned $1.04 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over SITM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SITM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $298.7M | +257% |
| Q2 2026 | $157.4M | +127% |
| Q1 2026 | $113.6M | +88% |
| Q4 2025 | $113.3M | +66% |
| Q3 2025 | $83.6M | +45% |
| Q2 2025 | $69.5M | +58% |
| Q1 2025 | $60.3M | +83% |
| Q4 2024 | $68.1M | +61% |
SITM has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.8% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5.2% | +41 points |
| Q1 2026 | -11% | +36 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.6% | +35 points |
| Q3 2025 | -19% | +24 points |
| Q2 2025 | -35% | +38 points |
| Q1 2025 | -47% | +60 points |
| Q4 2024 | -34% | +31 points |
SITM's operating margin was 2.8% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
SITM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$16.7M | -164% |
| Q2 2026 | $27.3M | +$30.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $17.9M | +$19.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $13M | +$15.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $26.3M | +$33M |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.9M | -$149K |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.3M | -$98K |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.4M | +$1.8M |
SITM has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over SITM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
SITM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +3.7M shares |
| 1 year | +20% | +5.1M shares |
| 3 years | +40% | +8.8M shares |
| 5 years | +47% | +9.9M shares |
| Available history | +108% | +16.2M shares |
SITM has 31M diluted shares, up 20% from a year ago.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over SITM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SITM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | -21.3x | Net Cash |
SITM's net debt is about 8.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
SITM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.0 | Oversold |
SITM's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over SITM on valuation relative to its sector.
SITM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SITM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 452x | 28x | 1,524% above |
| PE % | 85 | 35 | 50 pts above |
SITM is trading at 452x earnings, a 1524% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over SITM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SITM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $531.4 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $579.9 | 19% below |
| 50 week MA | $520.0 | 9.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $369.3 | 27% above |
| 200 week MA | $248.3 | 90% above |
SITM has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 90% above its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
SITM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $22.7 | $106.9 | +370% |
| 2021 | $106.9 | $283.9 | +166% |
| 2022 | $283.9 | $99.4 | -65% |
| 2023 | $99.4 | $122.1 | +23% |
| 2024 | $122.1 | $220.9 | +81% |
| 2025 | $220.9 | $377.1 | +71% |
| 2026 YTD | $377.1 | $470.6 | +25% |
SITM has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.