MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over SIMO overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
SIMO
Silicon Motion Technology Corporation
SIMO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SIMO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
SIMO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
SIMO PE Valuation
SIMO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
SIMO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SIMO has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
SIMO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $34.16 | +790% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.16 | +620% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.84 | +372% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.84 | +193% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.84 | +63% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.80 | +59% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.72 | +71% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.68 | +61% |
SIMO has the edge over MSFT on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over SIMO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SIMO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $451M | +127% |
| Q1 2026 | $342.1M | +105% |
| Q4 2025 | $278.5M | +46% |
| Q3 2025 | $242M | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $198.7M | -5.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $166.5M | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $191.2M | -5.5% |
| Q3 2024 | $212.4M | +23% |
SIMO's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $451M last quarter, up 127% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +11 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +9.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | +2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | -3.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.9% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.3% | +0.6 points |
| Q3 2024 | 12% | +2.8 points |
SIMO's operating margin was 22% last quarter, up 11 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT has the edge over SIMO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SIMO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$71.5M | -$38.7M |
| Q1 2026 | -$49.4M | -228% |
| Q4 2025 | -$6.3M | +$10.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $6.8M | -84% |
| Q2 2025 | -$32.8M | -397% |
| Q1 2025 | $38.6M | +$41.5M |
| Q4 2024 | -$17M | -154% |
| Q3 2024 | $41.6M | -13% |
SIMO's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$120M over the past year.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over SIMO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
SIMO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +45.3K shares |
| 1 year | +1.6% | +134K shares |
| 3 years | -75% | -24.9M shares |
| 5 years | -76% | -26.4M shares |
| Available history | -76% | -26.6M shares |
SIMO has 9M diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $21,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $24.3M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
SIMO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
SIMO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
SIMO has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
SIMO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.5 | Oversold |
SIMO's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SIMO PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SIMO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
SIMO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over SIMO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SIMO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.3 | 19% below |
| 20 week MA | $251.4 | 29% below |
| 50 week MA | $198.9 | 9.7% below |
| 100 week MA | $133.6 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $98.9 | 81% above |
SIMO has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 81% above its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
SIMO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $50.5 | $44.9 | -11% |
| 2021 | $44.9 | $92.1 | +105% |
| 2022 | $92.1 | $62.4 | -32% |
| 2023 | $62.4 | $61.3 | -1.8% |
| 2024 | $61.3 | $54.9 | -10% |
| 2025 | $54.9 | $90.2 | +64% |
| 2026 YTD | $90.2 | $179.5 | +99% |
SIMO has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.