MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over SILC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

SILC

Silicom Ltd.

64
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

SILC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SILC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

SILC's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

SILC PE Valuation

SILC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 112x next year's earnings.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

SILC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

SILC has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SILC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SILC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+74%$54.68
Downside-42%$18.20

Calculated from the latest close: $31.45 on Nov 12.

SILC trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over SILC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SILC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.08Q4 2023: $-3.94Q1 2024: $-5.01Q2 2024: $-5.82Q3 2024: $-6.44Q4 2024: $-2.29Q1 2025: $-2.23Q2 2025: $-2.57Q3 2025: $-2.62Q4 2025: $-2.01Q1 2026: $-1.93Q2 2026: $-1.71Forward: $0.28
Q3 2023: $2.08Q4 2023: $-3.94Q1 2024: $-5.01Q2 2024: $-5.82Q3 2024: $-6.44Q4 2024: $-2.29Q1 2025: $-2.23Q2 2025: $-2.57Q3 2025: $-2.62Q4 2025: $-2.01Q1 2026: $-1.93Q2 2026: $-1.71Forward: $0.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.28—
Q2 2026-$1.71+$0.86
Q1 2026-$1.93+$0.30
Q4 2025-$2.01+$0.28
Q3 2025-$2.62+$3.82
Q2 2025-$2.57+$3.25
Q1 2025-$2.23+$2.78
Q4 2024-$2.29+$1.65
Q3 2024-$6.44-410%

SILC is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.71 per share over the past year, against $6.44 at its worst in late 2024.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over SILC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SILC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $30MQ4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $24M
Q3 2023: $30MQ4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $24M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$23.8M+59%
Q1 2026$19.1M+33%
Q4 2025$16.9M+17%
Q3 2025$15.6M+5.8%
Q2 2025$15M+3.6%
Q1 2025$14.4M+0.1%
Q4 2024$14.5M-23%
Q3 2024$14.8M-51%

SILC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $24M last quarter, up 59% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over SILC on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SILC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025-$3.3M-$3.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

SILC's free cash flow was −$3M over the past year, against $0 the year before.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over SILC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SILC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 7MQ4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 6MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6M
Q3 2023: 7MQ4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 6MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+7K shares
1 year+0.6%+33K shares
3 years-16%-1.1M shares
5 years-18%-1.3M shares
Available history-24%-1.8M shares

SILC has 6M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SILC Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.8x
Q3 2023: -1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2023-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2023-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2023-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2022-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2022-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2022-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 20220.0xVery low
Q4 2021-1.2xNet Cash

SILC has more cash than debt.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

SILC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.7Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

SILC's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SILC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSILCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

SILC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over SILC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SILC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$42.927% below
20 week MA$43.027% below
50 week MA$33.04.7% below
100 week MA$24.429% above
200 week MA$23.534% above

SILC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 34% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

SILC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$41.3+25%
2021$41.3$49.2+19%
2022$49.2$41.6-15%
2023$41.6$18.1-56%
2024$18.1$16.5-8.7%
2025$16.5$14.1-15%
2026 YTD$14.1$31.5+123%

SILC has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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