MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over SCSC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

SCSC

ScanSource, Inc.

62
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

SCSC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SCSC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy

SCSC's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over SCSC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SCSC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x49x74x98x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x49x74x98x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.7x$27.69-37%
Forward8.9x$44.26—
Fair13x$42.03-5%
Current14x$44.26—
Expensive17x$52.71+19%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SCSC's PE is in its fair range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.9x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

SCSC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SCSC, with profitability holding steady.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SCSC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SCSC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$58.57
Downside-15%$37.74

Calculated from the latest close: $44.26 on Nov 12.

SCSC trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over SCSC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SCSC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.49Q1 2024: $3.16Q2 2024: $3.06Q3 2024: $3.14Q4 2024: $2.55Q1 2025: $2.79Q2 2025: $3.00Q3 2025: $3.20Q4 2025: $3.25Q1 2026: $3.29Q2 2026: $3.64Q3 2026: $3.17Forward: $5.00
Q4 2023: $3.49Q1 2024: $3.16Q2 2024: $3.06Q3 2024: $3.14Q4 2024: $2.55Q1 2025: $2.79Q2 2025: $3.00Q3 2025: $3.20Q4 2025: $3.25Q1 2026: $3.29Q2 2026: $3.64Q3 2026: $3.17Forward: $5.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.00+58%
Q3 2026$3.17-0.9%
Q2 2026$3.64+21%
Q1 2026$3.29+18%
Q4 2025$3.25+27%
Q3 2025$3.20+1.9%
Q2 2025$3.00-2%
Q1 2025$2.79-12%
Q4 2024$2.55-27%

SCSC earned $3.17 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over SCSC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SCSC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $885MQ1 2024: $753MQ2 2024: $746MQ3 2024: $776MQ4 2024: $747MQ1 2025: $705MQ2 2025: $813MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $767MQ1 2026: $767MQ2 2026: $953MQ3 2026: $962M
Q4 2023: $885MQ1 2024: $753MQ2 2024: $746MQ3 2024: $776MQ4 2024: $747MQ1 2025: $705MQ2 2025: $813MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $767MQ1 2026: $767MQ2 2026: $953MQ3 2026: $962M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$962.3M+30%
Q2 2026$953.1M+17%
Q1 2026$766.8M+8.8%
Q4 2025$766.5M+2.5%
Q3 2025$739.7M-4.6%
Q2 2025$812.9M+8.9%
Q1 2025$704.8M-6.3%
Q4 2024$747.5M-16%

SCSC's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $962M last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

SCSC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $61MQ1 2024: $158MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: $65MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: −$44M
Q4 2023: $61MQ1 2024: $158MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: $65MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: −$44M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$44.1M-312%
Q2 2026-$4.8M-193%
Q1 2026$69M+6.7%
Q4 2025$28.9M+$37M
Q3 2025$20.8M-51%
Q2 2025$5.1M-90%
Q1 2025$64.6M-59%
Q4 2024-$8.2M-113%

SCSC usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$44M, but it generated $49M over the past year.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

SCSC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 21M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 21M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.6%-1M shares
1 year-7.7%-1.7M shares
3 years-18%-4.5M shares
5 years-20%-5M shares
Available history-18%-4.7M shares

SCSC has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over SCSC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SCSC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20240.3xVery low

SCSC's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

SCSC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.4Neutral
Stochastic24.2Neutral

SCSC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SCSC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSCSCSector medianRelative
PE14x28x50% below
PE %533518 pts above

SCSC has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over SCSC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SCSC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$55.921% below
20 week MA$55.520% below
50 week MA$46.85.4% below
100 week MA$43.81.1% above
200 week MA$41.07.9% above

SCSC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 7.9% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

SCSC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.6$26.2-28%
2021$26.2$34.6+32%
2022$34.6$29.1-16%
2023$29.1$39.6+36%
2024$39.6$47.8+21%
2025$47.8$39.7-17%
2026 YTD$39.7$44.3+11%

SCSC has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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