MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over SAP overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

SAP

SAP SE

66
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

SAP's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SAP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

SAP's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over SAP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SAP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x63x95x126x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x63x95x126x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap24x$185-21%
Current31x$234—
Fair35x$262+12%
Expensive65x$489+109%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SAP's PE is 31x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

SAP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

SAP has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SAP, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SAP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$301.47
Downside-22%$183.69

Calculated from the latest close: $234.06 on Nov 12.

SAP trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

SAP Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $5.15Q4 2023: $5.75Q1 2024: $4.51Q2 2024: $2.37Q3 2024: $2.54Q4 2024: $2.93Q1 2025: $5.40Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $6.69Q4 2025: $6.92Q1 2026: $7.08Q2 2026: $7.55
Q3 2023: $5.15Q4 2023: $5.75Q1 2024: $4.51Q2 2024: $2.37Q3 2024: $2.54Q4 2024: $2.93Q1 2025: $5.40Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $6.69Q4 2025: $6.92Q1 2026: $7.08Q2 2026: $7.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$7.55+22%
Q1 2026$7.08+31%
Q4 2025$6.92+136%
Q3 2025$6.69+163%
Q2 2025$6.18+161%
Q1 2025$5.40+20%
Q4 2024$2.93-49%
Q3 2024$2.54-51%

SAP earned $7.55 per share over the past year, up 22% from the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over SAP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SAP Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.6BQ4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.9BQ2 2024: $9.2BQ3 2024: $9.4BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $10BQ2 2025: $10BQ3 2025: $10.1BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $10.6BQ2 2026: $11B
Q3 2023: $8.6BQ4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.9BQ2 2024: $9.2BQ3 2024: $9.4BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $10BQ2 2025: $10BQ3 2025: $10.1BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $10.6BQ2 2026: $11B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11B+9.4%
Q1 2026$10.6B+6%
Q4 2025$10.8B+3.3%
Q3 2025$10.1B+7.2%
Q2 2025$10B+8.9%
Q1 2025$10B+12%
Q4 2024$10.4B+11%
Q3 2024$9.4B+9.4%

SAP's revenue has grown year over year for 20 quarters in a row: $11B last quarter, up 9.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

SAP Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $1BQ4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: −$910MQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $3.4B
Q3 2023: $1BQ4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: −$910MQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $3.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$3.4B+27%
Q1 2026$3.6B-9.4%
Q4 2025$1.2B+$2.2B
Q3 2025$1.4B+4.9%
Q2 2025$2.7B+75%
Q1 2025$4B+34%
Q4 2024-$909.8M-146%
Q3 2024$1.4B+32%

SAP has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

SAP Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.2BQ4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.2B
Q3 2023: 1.2BQ4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-10M shares
1 year-1.3%-14.9M shares
3 years-1.9%-22M shares
5 years-1.9%-22M shares
Available history-3%-36M shares

SAP has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SAP Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.2xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -0.8x
Q3 2023: 0.2xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 2024-1.5xNet Cash

SAP has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

SAP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.4Neutral
Stochastic81.0Overbought

SAP's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over SAP on valuation relative to its sector.

SAP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSAPSector medianRelative
PE31x28x11% above
PE %43358 pts above

SAP is trading at 31x earnings, a 11% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

SAP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$224.94.1% above
20 week MA$205.414% above
50 week MA$200.117% above
100 week MA$237.11.3% below
200 week MA$202.815% above

SAP's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 15% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over SAP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SAP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$135.0$126.1-6.6%
2021$126.1$140.1+11%
2022$140.1$103.5-26%
2023$103.5$154.6+49%
2024$154.6$250.2+62%
2025$250.2$246.6-1.4%
2026 YTD$246.6$234.1-5.1%

SAP has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 5.1% so far in 2026.

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