MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over S overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
S
SentinelOne, Inc.
S offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
S Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Unavailable |
S's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
S PE Valuation
S has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
S Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
S has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over S on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
S Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.43 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.02 | +$0.30 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.97 | +$0.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.37 | -$0.45 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.25 | -$0.32 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.32 | -$0.40 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.32 | -$0.31 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.92 | +$0.23 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.93 | +$0.32 |
S is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $1.02 per share over the past year, against $1.40 at its worst in early 2023.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over S on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
S Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $292M | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $276.7M | +21% |
| Q1 2026 | $271.2M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $258.9M | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $242.2M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $229M | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | $225.5M | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $210.6M | +28% |
S has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -31% | +2.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | -29% | +9.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | -29% | +6.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | -28% | +14 points |
| Q3 2025 | -33% | +6.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -38% | +5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -36% | +11 points |
| Q4 2024 | -42% | +7.3 points |
S's operating margin was −31% last quarter, up 2.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
S Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$6.6M | -$5.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $38.1M | -27% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.2M | +$7.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $20.9M | +$28.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.3M | -175% |
| Q2 2025 | $52.1M | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.6M | +$2.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$7.4M | +$15.5M |
S has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over S on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
S Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.3% | +4.5M shares |
| 1 year | +3.2% | +10.6M shares |
| 3 years | +16% | +48.4M shares |
| 5 years | +35% | +88M shares |
| Available history | +59% | +126M shares |
S has 342M diluted shares, up 3.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | $98.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $49.2M |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
S Net Leverage
S's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
S Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 54.8 | Neutral |
S's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
S PE vs Technology Sector
S has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
S Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $23.6 | 5.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $21.5 | 3.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $17.4 | 28% above |
| 100 week MA | $18.2 | 22% above |
| 200 week MA | $19.3 | 16% above |
S has slipped below its 8-week average, but it's still above the other four, and 16% above its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
S Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $44.6 | $51.6 | +16% |
| 2022 | $51.6 | $13.3 | -74% |
| 2023 | $13.3 | $27.4 | +107% |
| 2024 | $27.4 | $22.5 | -18% |
| 2025 | $22.5 | $15.0 | -33% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.0 | $22.3 | +49% |
S has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.