MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over RUM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
RUM
Rumble Inc.
RUM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RUM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RUM's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
RUM PE Valuation
RUM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
RUM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect RUM's losses to grow, with revenue growing.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over RUM on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RUM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.72 | +$0.64 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.59 | +$0.86 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.43 | +$1.03 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.32 | +$1.34 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.36 | -$0.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.45 | -$0.82 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.46 | -$0.81 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | -$1.08 |
RUM lost $0.72 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before, but its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over RUM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RUM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $96.6M | +290% |
| Q2 2026 | $40.4M | +61% |
| Q1 2026 | $25.5M | +7.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $27.1M | -10% |
| Q3 2025 | $24.8M | -1.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.1M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.7M | +34% |
| Q4 2024 | $30.2M | +48% |
RUM's revenue is growing: $97M last quarter, up 290% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -88% | +26 points |
| Q2 2026 | -175% | -69 points |
| Q1 2026 | -154% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | -131% | -51 points |
| Q3 2025 | -114% | +17 points |
| Q2 2025 | -106% | +67 points |
| Q1 2025 | -153% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -80% | +102 points |
RUM's operating margin was −88% last quarter, up 26 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT has the edge over RUM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RUM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$80M | -$68M |
| Q2 2026 | -$91.6M | -$75.5M |
| Q1 2026 | -$17.7M | -$3.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$31.7M | -$19.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$12M | +$7.9M |
| Q2 2025 | -$16.1M | +$7M |
| Q1 2025 | -$14.6M | +$19.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.4M | +$24.3M |
RUM has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$221M over the past year, against −$55M the year before.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over RUM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
RUM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +50% | +141M shares |
| 1 year | +63% | +164M shares |
| 3 years | +110% | +223M shares |
RUM has 425M diluted shares, up 63% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $525M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RUM Net Leverage
RUM's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
RUM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.9 | Oversold |
RUM's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
RUM PE vs Technology Sector
RUM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over RUM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RUM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.27 | 8.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $6.83 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $6.60 | 13% below |
| 100 week MA | $7.70 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $7.31 | 22% below |
RUM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 22% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over RUM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RUM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $9.82 | $11.7 | +19% |
| 2022 | $11.7 | $6.38 | -45% |
| 2023 | $6.38 | $4.49 | -30% |
| 2024 | $4.49 | $15.2 | +239% |
| 2025 | $15.2 | $6.67 | -56% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.67 | $5.71 | -14% |
RUM's yearly returns have swung widely, from +239% in 2024 to −56% in 2025. It's down 14% so far in 2026.