MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over RSKD overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
RSKD
Riskified Ltd.
RSKD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RSKD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
RSKD's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
RSKD PE Valuation
RSKD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
RSKD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RSKD has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over RSKD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RSKD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.38 | — |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.11 | +$0.13 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.12 | +$0.10 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.17 | +$0.03 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.23 | -$0.03 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.24 | +$0.02 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.22 | +$0.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.20 | +$0.13 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.20 | +$0.19 |
RSKD is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.11 per share over the past year, against $1.33 at its worst in late 2021.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over RSKD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over RSKD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RSKD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $98.7M | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $88.3M | +7.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $99.3M | +6.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $81.9M | +3.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $81.1M | +3% |
| Q1 2025 | $82.4M | +7.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $93.5M | +11% |
| Q3 2024 | $78.8M | +9.7% |
RSKD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $99M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -7.5% | +8.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | -6.7% | +14 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.3% | +8.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | -11% | +7.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +2 points |
| Q1 2025 | -21% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3.6% | +4.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | -18% | +17 points |
RSKD's operating margin was −7.5% last quarter, up 8.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
RSKD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $13.1M | +146% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.4M | +158% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.7M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.4M | -3.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.3M | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.6M | -65% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.6M | +48% |
| Q3 2024 | $13.9M | +279% |
RSKD has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
RSKD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -5.5% | -8.1M shares |
| 1 year | -12% | -19.8M shares |
| 3 years | -21% | -36.3M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -18.2M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -18.3M shares |
RSKD has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $66M |
| Q1 2026 | $27.6M |
| Q4 2025 | $40.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $25.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $23.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $20.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $24.6M |
| Q3 2024 | $47M |
RSKD spent $159M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RSKD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -38.4x | Net Cash |
RSKD has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
RSKD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 74.4 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 79.4 | Neutral |
RSKD's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
RSKD PE vs Technology Sector
RSKD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
RSKD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.51 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $6.83 | 38% above |
| 50 week MA | $5.48 | 72% above |
| 100 week MA | $5.17 | 82% above |
| 200 week MA | $5.08 | 85% above |
RSKD has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
RSKD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $27.4 | $8.00 | -71% |
| 2022 | $8.00 | $4.72 | -41% |
| 2023 | $4.72 | $4.68 | -0.8% |
| 2024 | $4.68 | $4.75 | +1.5% |
| 2025 | $4.75 | $5.01 | +5.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.01 | $9.42 | +88% |
RSKD has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.