MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over RPD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
RPD
Rapid7, Inc.
RPD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RPD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
RPD's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over RPD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
RPD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 7.5x | $14.40 | — |
| Cheap | 22x | $4.52 | -69% |
| Fair | 42x | $8.79 | -39% |
| Expensive | 57x | $12.05 | -16% |
| Current | 69x | $14.40 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RPD's PE is in its expensive range at 69x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.5x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
RPD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RPD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over RPD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RPD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.91 | +809% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.21 | -46% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.31 | -33% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.35 | -20% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.36 | -18% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.39 | -43% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.46 | +$1.25 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.44 | +$2.44 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.44 | +$2.90 |
RPD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.21 over the past year, against $0.68 in late 2024.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over RPD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over RPD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RPD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $212.4M | -2.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $210.9M | -1.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $209.7M | -0.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $217.4M | +0.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $218M | +1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $214.2M | +3% |
| Q1 2025 | $210.3M | +2.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $216.3M | +5.4% |
RPD's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $212M last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.2% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.1% | -0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.7% | -3.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.6% | -1.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1% | -5.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7% | -3.7 points |
RPD's operating margin was 4.2% last quarter, up 1.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
RPD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $29.9M | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | $35.8M | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $37.7M | +33% |
| Q4 2025 | $36.4M | -42% |
| Q3 2025 | $34.8M | -18% |
| Q2 2025 | $46.6M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $28.4M | -6.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $62.6M | -0.8% |
RPD has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over RPD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
RPD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +2.3M shares |
| 1 year | +7.7% | +5M shares |
| 3 years | +15% | +9.1M shares |
| 5 years | +25% | +14.2M shares |
| Available history | +44% | +21.4M shares |
RPD has 70M diluted shares, up 7.7% from a year ago.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RPD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -7.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -4.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.2x | Net Cash |
RPD has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
RPD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 61.9 | Neutral |
RPD's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over RPD on valuation relative to its sector.
RPD PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | RPD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 69x | 28x | 146% above |
| PE % | 97 | 35 | 62 pts above |
RPD is trading at 69x earnings, a 146% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over RPD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RPD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.8 | 4% above |
| 20 week MA | $12.3 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $10.3 | 39% above |
| 100 week MA | $17.7 | 19% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.7 | 55% below |
RPD has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 55% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over RPD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RPD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $57.3 | $89.3 | +56% |
| 2021 | $89.3 | $121.4 | +36% |
| 2022 | $121.4 | $33.8 | -72% |
| 2023 | $33.8 | $57.1 | +69% |
| 2024 | $57.1 | $40.2 | -30% |
| 2025 | $40.2 | $15.4 | -62% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.4 | $14.4 | -6.5% |
RPD has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 6.5% so far in 2026.