MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over RPAY overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RPAY

Repay Holdings Corporation

55
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

RPAY trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RPAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure

RPAY's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

RPAY PE Valuation

RPAY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

MSFT has the edge over RPAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

RPAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RPAY, but weaker profitability.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RPAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RPAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$6.43
Downside-35%$2.65

Calculated from the latest close: $4.10 on Nov 12.

RPAY trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 36% for MSFT versus RPAY down 80%.

RPAY Earnings Per Share

Forward: $0.93
Forward: $0.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.93+673%
Q4 2022$0.12+$0.72
Q3 2022$0.00+$0.56
Q2 2022-$0.12+$0.53
Q1 2022-$0.27+$0.53
Q4 2021-$0.60+$0.08
Q3 2021-$0.56+$0.20
Q2 2021-$0.65+$0.20
Q1 2021-$0.80-$0.12

RPAY has returned to profit: it earned $0.12 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over RPAY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RPAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $76MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $77MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $79MQ1 2026: $81MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $153M
Q4 2023: $76MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $77MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $79MQ1 2026: $81MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $153M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$153.4M+97%
Q2 2026$100.7M+33%
Q1 2026$80.8M+4.5%
Q4 2025$78.6M+0.4%
Q3 2025$77.7M-1.8%
Q2 2025$75.6M+1%
Q1 2025$77.3M-4.2%
Q4 2024$78.3M+3%

RPAY's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $153M last quarter, up 97% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

RPAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $38MQ3 2026: $9M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $38MQ3 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9.2M-71%
Q2 2026$38.1M+15%
Q1 2026$16.7M+609%
Q4 2025$23.2M-32%
Q3 2025$32.1M-46%
Q2 2025$33.1M+8.7%
Q1 2025$2.4M-90%
Q4 2024$34M-3.3%

RPAY still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $87M over the past year.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over RPAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RPAY Total Shares

PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.8%-3.1M shares
1 year+25%+21.8M shares

RPAY has 110M diluted shares, up 25% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RPAY Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 34.9xQ2 2024: 18.6xQ3 2024: 17.3xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.6x
Q1 2024: 34.9xQ2 2024: 18.6xQ3 2024: 17.3xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20253.6xElevated
Q4 20243.2xElevated
Q3 202417.3xHigh
Q2 202418.6xHigh
Q1 202434.9xHigh
Q3 20235.9xHigh
Q2 20236.5xHigh
Q1 20237.2xHigh

RPAY's net debt is about 3.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

RPAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.8Neutral
Stochastic71.5Neutral

RPAY's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

RPAY PE vs Technology Sector

RPAY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over RPAY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RPAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.120.5% below
20 week MA$3.992.8% above
50 week MA$3.6313% above
100 week MA$4.529.3% below
200 week MA$6.4136% below

RPAY's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 36% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

RPAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.6$27.7+90%
2021$27.7$18.4-34%
2022$18.4$7.62-59%
2023$7.62$8.54+12%
2024$8.54$7.74-9.4%
2025$7.74$3.71-52%
2026 YTD$3.71$4.10+11%

RPAY has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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