MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over ROG overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
ROG
Rogers Corporation
ROG offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ROG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
ROG's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over ROG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ROG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 28x | $130 | — |
| Cheap | 29x | $71.92 | -45% |
| Fair | 45x | $112 | -14% |
| Current | 53x | $130 | — |
| Expensive | 74x | $182 | +40% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ROG's PE is in its fair range at 53x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 28x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
ROG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
ROG has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over ROG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ROG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.65 | +88% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.47 | +$6.11 |
| Q2 2026 | $1.69 | +$5.23 |
| Q1 2026 | -$3.07 | -441% |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.40 | -343% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.64 | -236% |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.54 | -213% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.90 | -75% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.40 | -54% |
ROG has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over ROG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over ROG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ROG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $236.1M | +9.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $216.8M | +6.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $200.5M | +5.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $201.5M | +4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $216M | +2.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $202.8M | -5.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $190.5M | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $192.2M | -6.1% |
ROG's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $236M last quarter, up 9.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.2% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.3% | +5.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.5% | +10 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | -33% | -39 points |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2% | -5.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.6% | -22 points |
ROG's operating margin was 13% last quarter, up 5.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
ROG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $35.4M | +67% |
| Q2 2026 | $18.3M | +227% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1M | -48% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.2M | +131% |
| Q3 2025 | $21.2M | -16% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.6M | -36% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.1M | -89% |
| Q4 2024 | $18.3M | -63% |
ROG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $97M over the past year.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
ROG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -100K shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -200K shares |
| 3 years | -4.2% | -785K shares |
| 5 years | -5.2% | -974K shares |
| Available history | -4.3% | -813K shares |
ROG has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $14.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $10M |
| Q2 2025 | $28.1M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $11.9M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $7.6M |
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
ROG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -9.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -21.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
ROG has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
ROG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.8 | Neutral |
ROG's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over ROG on valuation relative to its sector.
ROG PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ROG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 53x | 28x | 89% above |
| PE % | 63 | 35 | 28 pts above |
ROG is trading at 53x earnings, a 89% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over ROG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ROG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $136.1 | 4.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $134.0 | 3% below |
| 50 week MA | $123.0 | 5.6% above |
| 100 week MA | $100.3 | 30% above |
| 200 week MA | $114.9 | 13% above |
ROG has slipped below its 8- and 20-week averages, though it's still 13% above its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
ROG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $125.4 | $151.3 | +21% |
| 2021 | $151.3 | $272.7 | +80% |
| 2022 | $272.7 | $113.5 | -58% |
| 2023 | $113.5 | $132.1 | +16% |
| 2024 | $132.1 | $104.5 | -21% |
| 2025 | $104.5 | $94.3 | -9.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $94.3 | $129.9 | +38% |
ROG has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.