MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over REKR overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

REKR

Rekor Systems, Inc.

49
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

REKR's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

REKR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

REKR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

REKR PE Valuation

REKR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

REKR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

REKR has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than REKR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

REKR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$0.54
Downside-41%$0.19

Calculated from the latest close: $0.32 on Nov 12.

REKR trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over REKR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

REKR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.72Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.66Q3 2024: $-0.64Q4 2024: $-0.70Q1 2025: $-0.57Q2 2025: $-0.52Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.27Q1 2026: $-0.24Q2 2026: $-0.17Q3 2026: $-0.16
Q4 2023: $-0.72Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.66Q3 2024: $-0.64Q4 2024: $-0.70Q1 2025: $-0.57Q2 2025: $-0.52Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.27Q1 2026: $-0.24Q2 2026: $-0.17Q3 2026: $-0.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.16+$0.25
Q2 2026-$0.17+$0.35
Q1 2026-$0.24+$0.33
Q4 2025-$0.27+$0.43
Q3 2025-$0.41+$0.23
Q2 2025-$0.52+$0.14
Q1 2025-$0.57+$0.15
Q4 2024-$0.70+$0.02

REKR is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.16 per share over the past year, against $1.67 at its worst in late 2022.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over REKR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

REKR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $13MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $13MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.9M-23%
Q2 2026$12.7M+2.5%
Q1 2026$10.3M+12%
Q4 2025$12.7M-4.4%
Q3 2025$14.2M+35%
Q2 2025$12.4M-0.5%
Q1 2025$9.2M-5.9%
Q4 2024$13.3M+20%

REKR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $11M last quarter, down 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over REKR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

REKR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$254,000Q1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$5M
Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$254,000Q1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$4.5M+$1.7M
Q2 2026-$2.4M+$5.6M
Q1 2026-$4.1M+$4.3M
Q4 2025-$254K+$5.5M
Q3 2025-$6.3M+$3.7M
Q2 2025-$8M+$2.4M
Q1 2025-$8.4M-$381K
Q4 2024-$5.7M+$219K

REKR has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$11M over the past year, against −$28M the year before.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over REKR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

REKR Total Shares

Q1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 107MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 126MQ4 2025: 120MQ1 2026: 137MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 138M
Q1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 107MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 126MQ4 2025: 120MQ1 2026: 137MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 138M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+44.1K shares
1 year+9.6%+12M shares
3 years+152%+83M shares
5 years+283%+102M shares
Available history+587%+118M shares

REKR has 138M diluted shares, up 9.6% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

REKR Net Leverage

REKR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

REKR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.8Neutral
Stochastic24.7Neutral

REKR's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

REKR PE vs Technology Sector

REKR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over REKR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

REKR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.358.6% below
20 week MA$0.5036% below
50 week MA$0.8261% below
100 week MA$1.1472% below
200 week MA$1.5780% below

REKR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 80% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over REKR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

REKR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.08$8.71+183%
2021$8.71$6.85-21%
2022$6.85$1.36-80%
2023$1.36$3.33+145%
2024$3.33$1.30-61%
2025$1.30$1.56+20%
2026 YTD$1.56$0.32-79%

REKR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +183% in 2020 to −80% in 2022. It's down 79% so far in 2026.

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