MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 27x earnings, below its usual 34x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

REFR

Research Frontiers Incorporated

There isn't enough reported data to score REFR yet.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

REFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

REFR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523โ€”
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523โ€”
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

REFR PE Valuation

REFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

REFR Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for REFR to show an outlook.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MSFT and REFR's risk to reward.

REFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $0.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MSFT and REFR's risk to reward.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over REFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

REFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.06Q1 2024: $-0.06Q2 2024: $-0.05Q3 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $-0.04Q1 2025: $-0.04Q2 2025: $-0.06Q3 2025: $-0.07Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.07Q2 2026: $-0.07Q3 2026: $-0.07
Q4 2023: $-0.06Q1 2024: $-0.06Q2 2024: $-0.05Q3 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $-0.04Q1 2025: $-0.04Q2 2025: $-0.06Q3 2025: $-0.07Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.07Q2 2026: $-0.07Q3 2026: $-0.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.07$0.00
Q2 2026-$0.07-$0.01
Q1 2026-$0.07-$0.03
Q4 2025-$0.06-$0.02
Q3 2025-$0.07-$0.03
Q2 2025-$0.06-$0.01
Q1 2025-$0.04+$0.02
Q4 2024-$0.04+$0.02

REFR is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.07 per share over the past year, against $0.13 at its worst in late 2019.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over REFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

REFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $312,236Q1 2024: $313,378Q2 2024: $489,594Q3 2024: $354,408Q4 2024: $178,151Q1 2025: $559,776Q2 2025: $129,904Q3 2025: $359,444Q4 2025: $72,123Q1 2026: $136,319Q2 2026: $86,346Q3 2026: $77,041
Q4 2023: $312,236Q1 2024: $313,378Q2 2024: $489,594Q3 2024: $354,408Q4 2024: $178,151Q1 2025: $559,776Q2 2025: $129,904Q3 2025: $359,444Q4 2025: $72,123Q1 2026: $136,319Q2 2026: $86,346Q3 2026: $77,041
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$77K-79%
Q2 2026$86.3K-34%
Q1 2026$136.3K-76%
Q4 2025$72.1K-60%
Q3 2025$359.4K+1.4%
Q2 2025$129.9K-73%
Q1 2025$559.8K+79%
Q4 2024$178.2K-43%

REFR's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $77,041 last quarter, down 79% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over REFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

REFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$549,027Q1 2024: โˆ’$391,170Q2 2024: โˆ’$186,956Q3 2024: โˆ’$258,515Q4 2024: $46,199Q1 2025: โˆ’$641,381Q2 2025: โˆ’$78,529Q3 2025: โˆ’$143,886Q4 2025: โˆ’$466,091Q1 2026: โˆ’$759,998Q2 2026: โˆ’$191,345Q3 2026: โˆ’$443,328
Q4 2023: โˆ’$549,027Q1 2024: โˆ’$391,170Q2 2024: โˆ’$186,956Q3 2024: โˆ’$258,515Q4 2024: $46,199Q1 2025: โˆ’$641,381Q2 2025: โˆ’$78,529Q3 2025: โˆ’$143,886Q4 2025: โˆ’$466,091Q1 2026: โˆ’$759,998Q2 2026: โˆ’$191,345Q3 2026: โˆ’$443,328
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$443.3K-$299.4K
Q2 2026-$191.3K-$112.8K
Q1 2026-$760K-$118.6K
Q4 2025-$466.1K-1109%
Q3 2025-$143.9K+$114.6K
Q2 2025-$78.5K+$108.4K
Q1 2025-$641.4K-$250.2K
Q4 2024$46.2K+$595.2K

REFR has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$2M over the past year, against โˆ’$817,597 the year before.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over REFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

REFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+3.6%+1.2M shares
3 years+4.1%+1.4M shares
5 years+10%+3.2M shares
Available history+16%+4.9M shares

REFR has 35M diluted shares, up 3.6% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

REFR Net Leverage

REFR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

REFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.7Oversold

REFR's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

REFR PE vs Technology Sector

REFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over REFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

REFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.5332% below
20 week MA$0.5028% below
50 week MA$0.8156% below
100 week MA$1.1869% below
200 week MA$1.4074% below

REFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 74% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over REFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

REFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.07$2.81-8.5%
2021$2.81$1.75-38%
2022$1.75$2.03+16%
2023$2.03$1.01-50%
2024$1.01$1.63+61%
2025$1.63$1.38-15%
2026 YTD$1.38$0.36-74%

REFR has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 74% so far in 2026.

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