MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDVT
Red Violet, Inc.
RDVT has a slight edge over MSFT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RDVT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
RDVT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over RDVT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
RDVT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 25x | $29.57 | -61% |
| Forward | 44x | $76.00 | — |
| Current | 64x | $76.00 | — |
| Fair | 78x | $93.41 | +23% |
| Expensive | 489x | $581 | +665% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RDVT's PE is in its cheap range at 64x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 44x next year's earnings.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
RDVT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
RDVT has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
RDVT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.75 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.19 | +55% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.13 | +88% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.97 | +59% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.91 | +82% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.77 | +103% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.60 | -47% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.61 | -41% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.50 | -48% |
RDVT earned $1.19 per share over the past year, up 55% from the year before.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over RDVT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDVT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $27.8M | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $26.7M | +23% |
| Q1 2026 | $25.8M | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.4M | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $23.1M | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $21.8M | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $22M | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.6M | +30% |
RDVT has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 21% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 23% | +10 points |
| Q1 2026 | 21% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.8% | +4.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | +6.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | -3.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9% | +7.8 points |
RDVT's operating margin was 21% last quarter, up 0.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
RDVT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.6M | +26% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.5M | +45% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.5M | +32% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.6M | -1.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $10M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.3M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $5M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.7M | +60% |
RDVT has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over RDVT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
RDVT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +8.9% | +1.3M shares |
| 1 year | +7.8% | +1.1M shares |
| 3 years | +9.9% | +1.4M shares |
| 5 years | +15% | +2.1M shares |
| Available history | +46% | +5M shares |
RDVT has 16M diluted shares, up 7.8% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $435,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $262,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $653,000 |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
RDVT spent $3M buying back its own shares over the past year, about five times what it spent the year before.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RDVT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
RDVT has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
RDVT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 61.7 | Neutral |
RDVT's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over RDVT on valuation relative to its sector.
RDVT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | RDVT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 64x | 28x | 129% above |
| PE % | 32 | 35 | 3 pts below |
RDVT is trading at 64x earnings, a 129% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
RDVT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $77.3 | 1.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $72.7 | 4.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $57.2 | 33% above |
| 100 week MA | $51.0 | 49% above |
| 200 week MA | $36.6 | 108% above |
RDVT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 108% above its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
RDVT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.6 | $26.4 | +42% |
| 2021 | $26.4 | $39.3 | +49% |
| 2022 | $39.3 | $24.4 | -38% |
| 2023 | $24.4 | $20.0 | -18% |
| 2024 | $20.0 | $36.6 | +83% |
| 2025 | $36.6 | $55.2 | +51% |
| 2026 YTD | $55.2 | $76.0 | +38% |
RDVT has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.