MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over RBRK overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
RBRK
Rubrik, Inc.
RBRK offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RBRK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
RBRK's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
RBRK PE Valuation
RBRK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 180x next year's earnings.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
RBRK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
RBRK has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over RBRK on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RBRK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.61 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.27 | +$1.09 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.46 | +$1.39 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.78 | +$12.02 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.97 | +$11.75 |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.36 | +$11.14 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.85 | +$10.14 |
| Q1 2025 | -$13.80 | -$11.79 |
| Q4 2024 | -$13.72 | -$11.77 |
RBRK is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.27 per share over the past year, against $13.80 at its worst in early 2025.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over RBRK on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RBRK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $427.3M | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $387.1M | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $377.7M | +46% |
| Q4 2025 | $350.2M | +48% |
| Q3 2025 | $309.9M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $278.5M | +49% |
| Q1 2025 | $258.1M | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $236.2M | +43% |
RBRK has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -17% | +14 points |
| Q2 2026 | -14% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | -22% | +23 points |
| Q4 2025 | -22% | +31 points |
| Q3 2025 | -30% | +52 points |
| Q2 2025 | -33% | +354 points |
| Q1 2025 | -45% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -53% | -13 points |
RBRK's operating margin was −17% last quarter, up 14 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
RBRK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $71.2M | +16% |
| Q2 2026 | $77.4M | +110% |
| Q1 2026 | $74.5M | -4.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $80.7M | +348% |
| Q3 2025 | $61.2M | +$90.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $36.8M | +$71.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $78M | +795% |
| Q4 2024 | $18M | +422% |
RBRK has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over RBRK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
RBRK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.2% | +2.4M shares |
| 1 year | +5.8% | +11.2M shares |
| 3 years | +17% | +30.2M shares |
RBRK has 206M diluted shares, up 5.8% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | $3,000 |
| Q2 2022 | $3,000 |
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RBRK Net Leverage
RBRK's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
RBRK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
RBRK's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
RBRK PE vs Technology Sector
RBRK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has stronger trend alignment. MSFT is above 4 of 5 weekly averages versus RBRK above 3 of 4.
RBRK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.8 | 5.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.0 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $77.7 | 42% above |
| 100 week MA | $77.2 | 43% above |
RBRK's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 43% above its 100-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
RBRK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $38.0 | $68.4 | +80% |
| 2025 | $68.4 | $78.7 | +15% |
| 2026 YTD | $78.7 | $110.4 | +40% |
RBRK has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.