MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over RBLX overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RBLX

Roblox Corporation

61
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

RBLX offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RBLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong
Unavailable

RBLX's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

RBLX PE Valuation

RBLX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

RBLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RBLX has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RBLX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RBLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+65%$84.75
Downside-39%$31.31

Calculated from the latest close: $51.42 on Nov 12.

RBLX trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over RBLX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RBLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.86Q2 2024: $-1.72Q3 2024: $-1.64Q4 2024: $-1.44Q1 2025: $-1.33Q2 2025: $-1.42Q3 2025: $-1.42Q4 2025: $-1.54Q1 2026: $-1.57Q2 2026: $-1.42Q3 2026: $-1.37
Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.86Q2 2024: $-1.72Q3 2024: $-1.64Q4 2024: $-1.44Q1 2025: $-1.33Q2 2025: $-1.42Q3 2025: $-1.42Q4 2025: $-1.54Q1 2026: $-1.57Q2 2026: $-1.42Q3 2026: $-1.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.37+$0.05
Q2 2026-$1.42$0.00
Q1 2026-$1.57-$0.24
Q4 2025-$1.54-$0.10
Q3 2025-$1.42+$0.22
Q2 2025-$1.42+$0.30
Q1 2025-$1.33+$0.53
Q4 2024-$1.44+$0.43

RBLX is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $1.37 per share over the past year, against $1.88 at its worst in mid-2023.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

RBLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $750MQ1 2024: $801MQ2 2024: $894MQ3 2024: $919MQ4 2024: $988MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $750MQ1 2024: $801MQ2 2024: $894MQ3 2024: $919MQ4 2024: $988MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+16%
Q2 2026$1.5B+36%
Q1 2026$1.4B+39%
Q4 2025$1.4B+43%
Q3 2025$1.4B+48%
Q2 2025$1.1B+21%
Q1 2025$1B+29%
Q4 2024$988.2M+32%

RBLX has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

RBLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $78MQ1 2024: $192MQ2 2024: $112MQ3 2024: $218MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $427MQ2 2025: $177MQ3 2025: $444MQ4 2025: $309MQ1 2026: $596MQ2 2026: $296MQ3 2026: $367M
Q4 2023: $78MQ1 2024: $192MQ2 2024: $112MQ3 2024: $218MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $427MQ2 2025: $177MQ3 2025: $444MQ4 2025: $309MQ1 2026: $596MQ2 2026: $296MQ3 2026: $367M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$367M-17%
Q2 2026$296M+68%
Q1 2026$596M+40%
Q4 2025$308.6M+156%
Q3 2025$443.6M+103%
Q2 2025$176.7M+58%
Q1 2025$426.5M+122%
Q4 2024$120.6M+54%

RBLX has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over RBLX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RBLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 616MQ1 2024: 635MQ2 2024: 643MQ3 2024: 651MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 672MQ2 2025: 685MQ3 2025: 697MQ4 2025: 690MQ1 2026: 712MQ2 2026: 717MQ3 2026: 716M
Q4 2023: 616MQ1 2024: 635MQ2 2024: 643MQ3 2024: 651MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 672MQ2 2025: 685MQ3 2025: 697MQ4 2025: 690MQ1 2026: 712MQ2 2026: 717MQ3 2026: 716M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-831K shares
1 year+2.7%+18.7M shares
3 years+16%+96.6M shares
5 years+24%+140M shares
Available history+36%+190M shares

RBLX has 716M diluted shares, up 2.7% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RBLX Net Leverage

RBLX's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

RBLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.8Neutral
Stochastic62.2Neutral

RBLX's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

RBLX PE vs Technology Sector

RBLX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over RBLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RBLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$48.16.9% above
20 week MA$46.012% above
50 week MA$55.67.6% below
100 week MA$73.730% below
200 week MA$56.69.1% below

RBLX has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 9.1% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over RBLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RBLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$69.7$101.8+46%
2022$101.8$26.8-74%
2023$26.8$45.7+71%
2024$45.7$59.5+30%
2025$59.5$82.2+38%
2026 YTD$82.2$51.4-37%

RBLX is down 37% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous five years.

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