MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over RAL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

RAL

Ralliant Corp

57
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

RAL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Healthy
Stable

RAL's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its profitability is weak.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

RAL PE Valuation

RAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

RAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RAL has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RAL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$99.64
Downside-28%$50.61

Calculated from the latest close: $70.57 on Nov 12.

RAL trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over RAL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RAL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $2.68Q1 2025: $2.22Q2 2025: $2.07Q3 2025: $1.62Q4 2025: $-10.78Q2 2026: $-10.96Q3 2026: $-10.87Q4 2026: $-10.45Forward: $3.54
Q4 2024: $2.68Q1 2025: $2.22Q2 2025: $2.07Q3 2025: $1.62Q4 2025: $-10.78Q2 2026: $-10.96Q3 2026: $-10.87Q4 2026: $-10.45Forward: $3.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.54—
Q3 2026-$10.45-745%
Q2 2026-$10.87-625%
Q1 2026-$10.96-594%
Q4 2025-$10.78-502%

RAL has swung to a loss: it lost $10.45 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over RAL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RAL Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $541MQ2 2024: $534MQ3 2024: $532MQ4 2024: $548MQ1 2025: $482MQ2 2025: $503MQ3 2025: $529MQ4 2025: $555MQ2 2026: $535MQ3 2026: $568MQ4 2026: $620M
Q1 2024: $541MQ2 2024: $534MQ3 2024: $532MQ4 2024: $548MQ1 2025: $482MQ2 2025: $503MQ3 2025: $529MQ4 2025: $555MQ2 2026: $535MQ3 2026: $568MQ4 2026: $620M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$620.1M+17%
Q2 2026$567.8M+13%
Q1 2026$534.6M+11%
Q4 2025$554.5M+1.2%
Q3 2025$529.1M-0.5%
Q2 2025$503.3M-5.7%
Q1 2025$481.8M-11%

RAL's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $620M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

RAL Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: $55MQ2 2024: $86MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $147MQ1 2025: $66MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $127MQ4 2025: $92MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: $99MQ4 2026: $102M
Q1 2024: $55MQ2 2024: $86MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $147MQ1 2025: $66MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $127MQ4 2025: $92MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: $99MQ4 2026: $102M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$101.9M-20%
Q1 2026$10.4M-84%
Q4 2025$91.6M-38%
Q3 2025$126.6M-4%
Q1 2025$66.4M+20%

RAL has the edge over MSFT in the latest year-over-year cash flow comparison.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

RAL Total Shares

Q1 2024: 113MQ2 2024: 113MQ3 2024: 113MQ4 2024: 113MQ1 2025: 113MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 113MQ4 2025: 113MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 113MQ4 2026: 113M
Q1 2024: 113MQ2 2024: 113MQ3 2024: 113MQ4 2024: 113MQ1 2025: 113MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 113MQ4 2025: 113MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 113MQ4 2026: 113M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-100K shares
1 year-0.8%-900K shares

RAL has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RAL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.5x
Q4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20252.5xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20240.2xVery low

RAL's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

RAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.1Neutral
Stochastic55.1Neutral

RAL's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

RAL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricRALSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

RAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

RAL has stronger trend alignment. MSFT is above 4 of 5 weekly averages versus RAL above 3 of 3.

RAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$69.41.7% above
20 week MA$68.13.7% above
50 week MA$57.922% above

RAL is in an uptrend: it's above all three of its weekly moving averages, and 22% above its 50-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

RAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$53.0$51.5-2.8%
2026 YTD$51.5$70.6+37%

RAL has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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