MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has a slight edge over QTWO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

QTWO

Q2 Holdings, Inc.

73
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

QTWO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

QTWO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

QTWO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

QTWO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE356x712x1068x1424x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE356x712x1068x1424x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward22x$72.95—
Cheap42x$72.13-1.1%
Current43x$72.95—
Fair60x$102+40%
Expensive1,034x$1,758+2310%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QTWO has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

QTWO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

QTWO has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than QTWO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

QTWO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$100.40
Downside-19%$58.90

Calculated from the latest close: $72.95 on Nov 12.

QTWO trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

QTWO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.12Q1 2024: $-1.34Q2 2024: $-1.15Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-0.64Q1 2025: $-0.34Q2 2025: $0.06Q3 2025: $0.49Q4 2025: $0.80Q1 2026: $1.13Q2 2026: $1.41Q3 2026: $1.70Forward: $3.28
Q4 2023: $-1.12Q1 2024: $-1.34Q2 2024: $-1.15Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-0.64Q1 2025: $-0.34Q2 2025: $0.06Q3 2025: $0.49Q4 2025: $0.80Q1 2026: $1.13Q2 2026: $1.41Q3 2026: $1.70Forward: $3.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.28+93%
Q3 2026$1.70+247%
Q2 2026$1.41+2250%
Q1 2026$1.13+$1.47
Q4 2025$0.80+$1.44
Q3 2025$0.49+$1.44
Q2 2025$0.06+$1.21
Q1 2025-$0.34+$1.00
Q4 2024-$0.64+$0.48

QTWO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.70 over the past year, about three times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for 21 quarters in a row.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over QTWO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

QTWO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $162MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $173MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $183MQ1 2025: $190MQ2 2025: $195MQ3 2025: $202MQ4 2025: $208MQ1 2026: $217MQ2 2026: $220MQ3 2026: $226M
Q4 2023: $162MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $173MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $183MQ1 2025: $190MQ2 2025: $195MQ3 2025: $202MQ4 2025: $208MQ1 2026: $217MQ2 2026: $220MQ3 2026: $226M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$225.8M+12%
Q2 2026$219.8M+13%
Q1 2026$216.5M+14%
Q4 2025$208.2M+14%
Q3 2025$201.7M+15%
Q2 2025$195.1M+13%
Q1 2025$189.7M+15%
Q4 2024$183M+13%

QTWO's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $226M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

QTWO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $59MQ3 2026: $63M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $59MQ3 2026: $63M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$62.6M+46%
Q2 2026$59M+25%
Q1 2026$49.7M+16%
Q4 2025$61.7M+48%
Q3 2025$42.9M+5%
Q2 2025$47.3M+37%
Q1 2025$42.7M+255%
Q4 2024$41.6M+17%

QTWO has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

QTWO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 60MQ3 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 65MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 60MQ3 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 65MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.9%-1.9M shares
1 year-9.1%-6.3M shares
3 years+8.6%+5M shares
5 years+12%+7M shares
Available history+38%+17.3M shares

QTWO has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

QTWO Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -131.0xQ3 2024: -26.6xQ4 2024: -13.5xQ1 2025: -9.8xQ2 2025: -7.1xQ3 2025: -6.0xQ4 2025: -3.9xQ1 2026: -2.9xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q2 2024: -131.0xQ3 2024: -26.6xQ4 2024: -13.5xQ1 2025: -9.8xQ2 2025: -7.1xQ3 2025: -6.0xQ4 2025: -3.9xQ1 2026: -2.9xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-6.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.5xNet Cash

QTWO has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

QTWO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.3Neutral
Stochastic84.4Overbought

QTWO's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over QTWO on valuation relative to its sector.

QTWO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricQTWOSector medianRelative
PE43x28x54% above
PE %183517 pts below

QTWO is trading at 43x earnings, a 54% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

QTWO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$64.613% above
20 week MA$61.519% above
50 week MA$57.627% above
100 week MA$69.94.3% above
200 week MA$59.423% above

QTWO has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over QTWO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

QTWO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$82.4$128.1+55%
2021$128.1$81.9-36%
2022$81.9$25.2-69%
2023$25.2$43.4+72%
2024$43.4$103.4+138%
2025$103.4$74.5-28%
2026 YTD$74.5$73.0-2.1%

QTWO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +138% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 2.1% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key