MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 27x earnings, below its usual 34x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

QLYS

Qualys, Inc.

76
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

QLYS's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 29x earnings, below its usual 45x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

QLYS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

QLYS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over QLYS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

QLYS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$173—
Cheap27x$165-4.7%
Current29x$173—
Fair45x$270+56%
Expensive58x$347+101%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QLYS's PE is in its cheap range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

QLYS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

QLYS has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than QLYS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

QLYS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$245.39
Downside-22%$134.73

Calculated from the latest close: $173.09 on Nov 12.

QLYS trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over QLYS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

QLYS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.03Q1 2024: $4.31Q2 2024: $4.53Q3 2024: $4.53Q4 2024: $4.65Q1 2025: $4.89Q2 2025: $5.01Q3 2025: $5.16Q4 2025: $5.44Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $5.78Q3 2026: $6.01Forward: $8.54
Q4 2023: $4.03Q1 2024: $4.31Q2 2024: $4.53Q3 2024: $4.53Q4 2024: $4.65Q1 2025: $4.89Q2 2025: $5.01Q3 2025: $5.16Q4 2025: $5.44Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $5.78Q3 2026: $6.01Forward: $8.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.54+42%
Q3 2026$6.01+16%
Q2 2026$5.78+15%
Q1 2026$5.57+14%
Q4 2025$5.44+17%
Q3 2025$5.16+14%
Q2 2025$5.01+11%
Q1 2025$4.89+13%
Q4 2024$4.65+15%

QLYS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $6.01 over the past year, up 16% from the year before, and higher year over year for 19 quarters in a row.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over QLYS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

QLYS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $145MQ1 2024: $146MQ2 2024: $149MQ3 2024: $154MQ4 2024: $159MQ1 2025: $160MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $170MQ4 2025: $175MQ1 2026: $176MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $188M
Q4 2023: $145MQ1 2024: $146MQ2 2024: $149MQ3 2024: $154MQ4 2024: $159MQ1 2025: $160MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $170MQ4 2025: $175MQ1 2026: $176MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $188M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$188M+11%
Q2 2026$182.2M+11%
Q1 2026$175.6M+9.8%
Q4 2025$175.3M+10%
Q3 2025$169.9M+10%
Q2 2025$164.1M+10%
Q1 2025$159.9M+9.7%
Q4 2024$159.2M+10%

QLYS's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $188M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

QLYS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $108MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $94MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $100M
Q4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $108MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $94MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $100M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$100M+12%
Q2 2026$55.9M+72%
Q1 2026$93.6M-13%
Q4 2025$74.9M+79%
Q3 2025$89.5M+55%
Q2 2025$32.4M-34%
Q1 2025$107.6M+29%
Q4 2024$41.9M+30%

QLYS has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

QLYS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+291K shares
1 year-2.7%-972K shares
3 years-5.7%-2.1M shares
5 years-12%-4.6M shares
Available history-15%-6M shares

QLYS has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

QLYS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -1.4x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.1xNet Cash

QLYS has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

QLYS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.9Neutral
Stochastic55.4Neutral

QLYS's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over QLYS on valuation relative to its sector.

QLYS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricQLYSSector medianRelative
PE29x28x3.4% above
PE %233512 pts below

QLYS is trading at 29x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over QLYS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

QLYS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$194.211% below
20 week MA$176.62% below
50 week MA$136.527% above
100 week MA$135.528% above
200 week MA$140.823% above

QLYS has slipped below its 8- and 20-week averages, though it's still 23% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

QLYS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$84.6$120.4+42%
2021$120.4$139.4+16%
2022$139.4$111.3-20%
2023$111.3$196.3+76%
2024$196.3$139.8-29%
2025$139.8$138.3-1.1%
2026 YTD$138.3$173.1+25%

QLYS has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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