MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over PTRN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
PTRN
Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
PTRN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
PTRN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
PTRN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
PTRN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 24x | $18.66 | -11% |
| Fair | 25x | $19.54 | -6.7% |
| Expensive | 27x | $20.44 | -2.5% |
| Current | 27x | $20.95 | — |
| Forward | 28x | $20.95 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PTRN has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
PTRN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PTRN, with profitability improving.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over PTRN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PTRN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.76 | -1.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.77 | +$2.68 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.60 | -544% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.66 | -603% |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.73 | -658% |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.91 | -782% |
PTRN has returned to profit: it earned $0.77 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over PTRN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PTRN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $885.8M | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $876.8M | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $773.7M | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $723.1M | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $639.7M | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $598.2M | +39% |
| Q1 2025 | $540.4M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $515.5M | +31% |
PTRN has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.2% | +14 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4% | -1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.1% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.6% | -0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | -9.4% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.4% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.5% | +0.5 points |
PTRN's operating margin was 4.2% last quarter, up 14 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
PTRN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.8M | +$7.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $63.3M | +47% |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.3M | -1297% |
| Q1 2025 | $43.2M | +26% |
PTRN generated $106M in free cash flow over the past year, up 42% from the year before.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over PTRN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
PTRN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.7% | +1.2M shares |
| 1 year | +79% | +80.7M shares |
PTRN has 182M diluted shares, up 79% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $94,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $3.6M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
PTRN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -5.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -6.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -7.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
PTRN has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
PTRN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 36.8 | Neutral |
PTRN's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
PTRN PE vs Technology Sector
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
PTRN has stronger trend alignment. MSFT is above 4 of 5 weekly averages versus PTRN above 3 of 3.
PTRN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $17.8 | 18% above |
| 20 week MA | $20.8 | 0.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $16.9 | 24% above |
PTRN is in an uptrend: it's above all three of its weekly moving averages, and 24% above its 50-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
PTRN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $15.6 | $11.8 | -24% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.8 | $21.0 | +77% |
PTRN has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.