MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
PTC
PTC Inc.
PTC has a slight edge over MSFT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
PTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
PTC's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over PTC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PTC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 19x | $196 | — |
| Forward | 22x | $196 | — |
| Cheap | 26x | $269 | +37% |
| Fair | 52x | $532 | +171% |
| Expensive | 91x | $941 | +379% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PTC's PE is in its cheap range at 19x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 22x.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
PTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PTC, with profitability improving.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
PTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.98 | -13% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.28 | +142% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.42 | +185% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.79 | +109% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.08 | +95% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.25 | +73% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.65 | +52% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.25 | +64% |
| Q3 2024 | $3.12 | +51% |
PTC has the edge over MSFT on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over PTC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $600M | -6.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $774.3M | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $685.8M | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $893.8M | +43% |
| Q2 2025 | $643.9M | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $636.4M | +5.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $565.1M | +2.7% |
| Q3 2024 | $626.5M | +15% |
PTC's revenue is growing: $600M last quarter, down 6.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 28% | -4.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 38% | +3.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +12 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +18 points |
| Q2 2025 | 33% | +14 points |
| Q1 2025 | 35% | +5.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | -1.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 31% | +8.8 points |
PTC's operating margin was 28% last quarter, down 4.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
PTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $249.3M | +3% |
| Q1 2026 | $318.2M | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $267.4M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $100.5M | +7.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $242M | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $278.5M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $235.7M | +29% |
| Q3 2024 | $93.6M | +113% |
PTC has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
PTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3% | -3.6M shares |
| 1 year | -4.6% | -5.5M shares |
| 3 years | -3.7% | -4.4M shares |
| 5 years | -3.1% | -3.6M shares |
| Available history | -2.3% | -2.7M shares |
PTC has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $500M |
| Q1 2026 | $626.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $200M |
| Q3 2025 | $75M |
| Q2 2025 | $75M |
| Q1 2025 | $75M |
| Q4 2024 | $75M |
| Q3 2023 | — |
PTC spent $1.4B buying back its own shares over the past year.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over PTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2024 | 1.4x | Healthy |
PTC's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.2 years a year ago.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
PTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 69.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 99.0 | Overbought |
PTC's weekly RSI is 70 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 99 (overbought).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
PTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 28x | 31% below |
| PE % | 8 | 35 | 27 pts below |
PTC has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
PTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $181.3 | 8.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $154.8 | 27% above |
| 50 week MA | $152.1 | 29% above |
| 100 week MA | $166.7 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $163.6 | 20% above |
PTC has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
PTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $75.8 | $119.9 | +58% |
| 2021 | $119.9 | $120.5 | +0.6% |
| 2022 | $120.5 | $121.3 | +0.6% |
| 2023 | $121.3 | $175.0 | +44% |
| 2024 | $175.0 | $184.5 | +5.5% |
| 2025 | $184.5 | $176.6 | -4.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $176.6 | $196.3 | +11% |
PTC has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.