MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over PSFE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

PSFE

Paysafe Limited

47
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

PSFE's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PSFE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Healthy
Weak

PSFE's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are weak.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

PSFE PE Valuation

PSFE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

PSFE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

PSFE has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PSFE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PSFE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$5.79
Downside-33%$2.60

Calculated from the latest close: $3.87 on Nov 12.

PSFE trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over PSFE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

PSFE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.33Q1 2024: $-0.22Q2 2024: $-0.21Q3 2024: $-0.38Q4 2024: $0.36Q1 2025: $-0.02Q2 2025: $-0.85Q3 2025: $-2.16Q4 2025: $-3.14Q1 2026: $-3.52Q2 2026: $-3.80Q3 2026: $-7.02Forward: $2.12
Q4 2023: $-0.33Q1 2024: $-0.22Q2 2024: $-0.21Q3 2024: $-0.38Q4 2024: $0.36Q1 2025: $-0.02Q2 2025: $-0.85Q3 2025: $-2.16Q4 2025: $-3.14Q1 2026: $-3.52Q2 2026: $-3.80Q3 2026: $-7.02Forward: $2.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.12—
Q3 2026-$7.02-$4.86
Q2 2026-$3.80-$2.95
Q1 2026-$3.52-$3.50
Q4 2025-$3.14-972%
Q3 2025-$2.16-$1.78
Q2 2025-$0.85-$0.64
Q1 2025-$0.02+$0.20
Q4 2024$0.36+$0.69

PSFE lost $7.02 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last seven quarters.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over PSFE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PSFE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $415MQ1 2024: $418MQ2 2024: $440MQ3 2024: $427MQ4 2024: $420MQ1 2025: $401MQ2 2025: $428MQ3 2025: $434MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $443MQ2 2026: $447MQ3 2026: $440M
Q4 2023: $415MQ1 2024: $418MQ2 2024: $440MQ3 2024: $427MQ4 2024: $420MQ1 2025: $401MQ2 2025: $428MQ3 2025: $434MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $443MQ2 2026: $447MQ3 2026: $440M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$439.6M+1.3%
Q2 2026$447.4M+4.5%
Q1 2026$442.7M+10%
Q4 2025$438.4M+4.4%
Q3 2025$433.8M+1.6%
Q2 2025$428.2M-2.7%
Q1 2025$401M-4%
Q4 2024$420.1M+1.3%

PSFE's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $440M last quarter, up 1.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over PSFE on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PSFE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $589MQ1 2024: $55MQ2 2024: $50MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $63MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $28M
Q4 2023: $589MQ1 2024: $55MQ2 2024: $50MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $63MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $28M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$28.4M-58%
Q2 2026$24.5M-33%
Q1 2026$63.3M+32%
Q4 2025$71.8M+32%
Q3 2025$66.9M-15%
Q2 2025$36.8M-26%
Q1 2025$48.2M-13%
Q4 2024$54.4M-91%

PSFE still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $188M over the past year.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

PSFE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 62MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 61MQ4 2024: 62MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 52M
Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 62MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 61MQ4 2024: 62MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 52M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-50.2K shares
1 year-9.3%-5.4M shares
3 years-15%-9.4M shares
5 years-13%-8.1M shares
Available history-13%-8.1M shares

PSFE has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over PSFE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PSFE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.5xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 5.2xQ3 2024: 5.2xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 6.2xQ3 2025: 6.1xQ4 2025: 6.8xQ1 2026: 6.6xQ2 2026: 7.4xQ3 2026: 27.8x
Q4 2023: 5.5xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 5.2xQ3 2024: 5.2xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 6.2xQ3 2025: 6.1xQ4 2025: 6.8xQ1 2026: 6.6xQ2 2026: 7.4xQ3 2026: 27.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202627.8xHigh
Q2 20267.4xHigh
Q1 20266.6xHigh
Q4 20256.8xHigh
Q3 20256.1xHigh
Q2 20256.2xHigh
Q1 20255.6xHigh
Q4 20245.3xHigh

PSFE's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.1 years a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

PSFE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.0Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

PSFE's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

PSFE PE vs Technology Sector

PSFE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over PSFE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PSFE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.6532% below
20 week MA$6.6442% below
50 week MA$7.1746% below
100 week MA$10.764% below
200 week MA$13.371% below

PSFE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 71% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over PSFE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PSFE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$119.4$182.8+53%
2021$182.8$48.8-73%
2022$48.8$12.8-74%
2023$12.8$12.8-0.2%
2024$12.8$17.4+36%
2025$17.4$8.03-54%
2026 YTD$8.03$3.87-52%

PSFE has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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