MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over PRGS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
PRGS
Progress Software Corporation
PRGS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
PRGS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure |
PRGS's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over PRGS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PRGS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 6.7x | $43.44 | — |
| Current | 20x | $43.44 | — |
| Cheap | 25x | $53.38 | +23% |
| Fair | 31x | $66.66 | +53% |
| Expensive | 38x | $81.69 | +88% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PRGS's PE is in its cheap range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.7x next year's earnings.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
MSFT has the edge over PRGS on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
PRGS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PRGS, but weaker profitability.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over PRGS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PRGS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.46 | +198% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.17 | +101% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.06 | +60% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.95 | +54% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.66 | +7.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.08 | -43% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.29 | -22% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.27 | -18% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.54 | -1.9% |
PRGS earned $2.17 per share over the past year, up 101% from the year before.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over PRGS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PRGS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $246M | -1.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $253.5M | +6.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $247.8M | +4.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $252.7M | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $249.8M | +40% |
| Q2 2025 | $237.4M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $238M | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $215M | +21% |
PRGS's revenue is growing: $246M last quarter, down 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 18% | +1.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | +5.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | +5.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 18% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 16% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | -5.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | -2.7 points |
PRGS's operating margin was 19% last quarter, up 1.4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
PRGS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $86.3M | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $77M | +161% |
| Q1 2026 | $95.9M | +42% |
| Q4 2025 | $59.9M | +257% |
| Q3 2025 | $72.4M | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5M | -53% |
| Q1 2025 | $67.7M | -3.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.8M | -45% |
PRGS has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
PRGS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2% | -832K shares |
| 1 year | -5.1% | -2.2M shares |
| 3 years | -7.8% | -3.5M shares |
| 5 years | -6.8% | -3M shares |
| Available history | -8.5% | -3.9M shares |
PRGS has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $34.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $20.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $40M |
| Q3 2025 | $15M |
| Q2 2025 | $20M |
| Q1 2025 | $30.1M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
PRGS spent $112M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 72% from the year before.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over PRGS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PRGS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
PRGS's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
PRGS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 73.9 | Neutral |
PRGS's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
PRGS PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PRGS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 28x | 28% below |
| PE % | 8 | 35 | 27 pts below |
PRGS has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over PRGS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PRGS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $41.9 | 3.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $41.5 | 4.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $37.8 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $45.5 | 4.5% below |
| 200 week MA | $51.1 | 15% below |
PRGS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 15% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over PRGS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PRGS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $41.7 | $44.2 | +6% |
| 2021 | $44.2 | $48.3 | +9.3% |
| 2022 | $48.3 | $50.5 | +4.4% |
| 2023 | $50.5 | $54.3 | +7.6% |
| 2024 | $54.3 | $65.5 | +21% |
| 2025 | $65.5 | $43.5 | -34% |
| 2026 YTD | $43.5 | $43.4 | -0.2% |
PRGS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.