MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over POWI overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

POWI

Power Integrations, Inc.

72
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

POWI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

POWI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

POWI's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over POWI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

POWI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE75x151x226x302x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE75x151x226x302x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap23x$18.45-60%
Forward26x$46.06—
Fair53x$41.55-9.8%
Current58x$46.06—
Expensive97x$76.52+66%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

POWI's PE is in its fair range at 58x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

POWI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

POWI has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT trails POWI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

POWI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$84.24
Downside-13%$39.96

Calculated from the latest close: $46.06 on Nov 12.

POWI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MSFT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over POWI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

POWI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.97Q1 2024: $0.92Q2 2024: $0.75Q3 2024: $0.66Q4 2024: $0.56Q1 2025: $0.64Q2 2025: $0.57Q3 2025: $0.30Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.30Q2 2026: $0.45Q3 2026: $0.79Forward: $1.76
Q4 2023: $0.97Q1 2024: $0.92Q2 2024: $0.75Q3 2024: $0.66Q4 2024: $0.56Q1 2025: $0.64Q2 2025: $0.57Q3 2025: $0.30Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.30Q2 2026: $0.45Q3 2026: $0.79Forward: $1.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.76+123%
Q3 2026$0.79+163%
Q2 2026$0.45-21%
Q1 2026$0.30-53%
Q4 2025$0.39-30%
Q3 2025$0.30-55%
Q2 2025$0.57-24%
Q1 2025$0.64-30%
Q4 2024$0.56-42%

POWI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.79 over the past year, against $3.41 in mid-2020.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over POWI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

POWI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $105MQ1 2025: $106MQ2 2025: $116MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $103MQ1 2026: $108MQ2 2026: $119MQ3 2026: $125M
Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $105MQ1 2025: $106MQ2 2025: $116MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $103MQ1 2026: $108MQ2 2026: $119MQ3 2026: $125M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$125.5M+5.5%
Q2 2026$118.9M+2.7%
Q1 2026$108.3M+2.6%
Q4 2025$103.2M-1.9%
Q3 2025$118.9M+2.7%
Q2 2025$115.9M+9.1%
Q1 2025$105.5M+15%
Q4 2024$105.3M+18%

POWI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $125M last quarter, up 5.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

POWI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $36M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$36.5M+51%
Q2 2026$17.7M-24%
Q1 2026$18M-13%
Q4 2025$19.2M+64%
Q3 2025$24.2M-11%
Q2 2025$23.1M+72%
Q1 2025$20.7M+79%
Q4 2024$11.7M+15%

POWI has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over POWI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

POWI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 56MQ2 2026: 57MQ3 2026: 57M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 56MQ2 2026: 57MQ3 2026: 57M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-88K shares
1 year+1.5%+812K shares
3 years-2%-1.1M shares
5 years-7.7%-4.8M shares
Available history-5.7%-3.4M shares

POWI has 57M diluted shares, up 1.5% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

POWI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

POWI has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

POWI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.3Neutral
Stochastic14.0Oversold

POWI's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over POWI on valuation relative to its sector.

POWI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPOWISector medianRelative
PE58x28x109% above
PE %543519 pts above

POWI is trading at 58x earnings, a 109% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over POWI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

POWI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.22.4% below
20 week MA$55.217% below
50 week MA$55.517% below
100 week MA$53.113% below
200 week MA$64.529% below

POWI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 29% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

POWI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$49.5$79.5+61%
2021$79.5$89.4+12%
2022$89.4$72.1-19%
2023$72.1$82.1+14%
2024$82.1$63.0-23%
2025$63.0$37.3-41%
2026 YTD$37.3$46.1+23%

POWI has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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