MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over PI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

PI

Impinj, Inc.

61
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

PI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Weak

PI's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

PI PE Valuation

PI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

PI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

PI has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+65%$289.60
Downside-39%$107.57

Calculated from the latest close: $175.32 on Nov 12.

PI trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over PI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

PI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.62Q1 2024: $-0.35Q2 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.89Q4 2024: $1.39Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $0.04Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.90Q2 2026: $-0.90Q3 2026: $-0.31Forward: $2.73
Q4 2023: $-1.62Q1 2024: $-0.35Q2 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.89Q4 2024: $1.39Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $0.04Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.90Q2 2026: $-0.90Q3 2026: $-0.31Forward: $2.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.73—
Q3 2026-$0.31+$0.10
Q2 2026-$0.90-2350%
Q1 2026-$0.90-$0.89
Q4 2025-$0.37-127%
Q3 2025-$0.41-146%
Q2 2025$0.04-86%
Q1 2025-$0.01+$0.34
Q4 2024$1.39+$3.01

PI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.31 per share over the past year, against $2.49 at its worst in early 2021.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over PI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $102MQ3 2024: $95MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: $98MQ3 2025: $96MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $108MQ3 2026: $112M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $102MQ3 2024: $95MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: $98MQ3 2025: $96MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $108MQ3 2026: $112M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.1M+17%
Q2 2026$108.4M+11%
Q1 2026$74.3M0%
Q4 2025$92.8M+1.4%
Q3 2025$96.1M+0.9%
Q2 2025$97.9M-4.5%
Q1 2025$74.3M-3.3%
Q4 2024$91.6M+30%

PI's revenue is growing: $112M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

PI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$20.6M+15%
Q2 2026$29.2M+6.8%
Q1 2026$2.2M+$15.2M
Q4 2025$13.6M+60%
Q3 2025$18M+286%
Q2 2025$27.3M-38%
Q1 2025-$13M-124%
Q4 2024$8.5M+$9.7M

PI has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over PI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.6%+490K shares
1 year+7.4%+2.2M shares
3 years+17%+4.6M shares
5 years+29%+7.2M shares
Available history+44%+9.6M shares

PI has 31M diluted shares, up 7.4% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over PI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PI Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 36.4xQ1 2025: 26.8xQ2 2025: 22.3xQ3 2025: 17.8xQ4 2025: 16.3xQ1 2026: 23.2xQ2 2026: 23.0xQ3 2026: 11.6x
Q4 2024: 36.4xQ1 2025: 26.8xQ2 2025: 22.3xQ3 2025: 17.8xQ4 2025: 16.3xQ1 2026: 23.2xQ2 2026: 23.0xQ3 2026: 11.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202611.6xHigh
Q2 202623.0xHigh
Q1 202623.2xHigh
Q4 202516.3xHigh
Q3 202517.8xHigh
Q2 202522.3xHigh
Q1 202526.8xHigh
Q4 202436.4xHigh

PI's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 18 years a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

PI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.0Neutral
Stochastic50.4Neutral

PI's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

PI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPISector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

PI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

PI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$178.31.6% below
20 week MA$167.64.6% above
50 week MA$148.318% above
100 week MA$141.524% above
200 week MA$132.133% above

PI's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 33% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over PI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.7$42.6+60%
2021$42.6$90.2+112%
2022$90.2$111.9+24%
2023$111.9$90.0-20%
2024$90.0$147.9+64%
2025$147.9$174.0+18%
2026 YTD$174.0$175.3+0.8%

PI has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.8% so far in 2026.

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