MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over PD overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
PD
PagerDuty, Inc.
PD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
PD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
PD's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over PD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.9x | $7.84 | -50% |
| Fair | 5.1x | $10.33 | -34% |
| Expensive | 7.7x | $15.69 | -0.2% |
| Current | 7.7x | $15.72 | — |
| Forward | 11x | $15.72 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PD's PE is 7.7x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
PD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect PD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
PD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.43 | -29% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.03 | +$2.19 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.07 | +$2.47 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.87 | +$2.46 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.60 | +$2.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.16 | +$0.74 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.40 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.59 | +$0.30 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.81 | +$0.01 |
PD has returned to profit: it earned $2.03 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over PD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over PD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $124.4M | +0.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $121M | +1% |
| Q1 2026 | $124.8M | +2.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $124.5M | +4.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $123.4M | +6.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $119.8M | +7.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $121.4M | +9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $118.9M | +9.4% |
PD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $124M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +5.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.6% | +16 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.6% | +13 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.5% | +15 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.9% | +17 points |
| Q2 2025 | -8.6% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | -9.7% | +20 points |
| Q4 2024 | -8.7% | +11 points |
PD's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, up 5.3 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
PD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $34.7M | +4.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $43.3M | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $24.5M | -19% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.1M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $33.1M | -5.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $30.2M | +7.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $30.3M | +43% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.5M | +29% |
PD has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
PD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -323K shares |
| 1 year | -16% | -15.1M shares |
| 3 years | -14% | -13.4M shares |
| 5 years | -5.7% | -4.8M shares |
| Available history | +4.1% | +3.1M shares |
PD has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $65.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $98.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $36.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $70.3M |
| Q1 2024 | — |
PD spent $208M buying back its own shares over the past year.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
PD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -5.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 9.7x | High |
| Q4 2025 | -68.2x | Net Cash |
PD has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
PD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 73.7 | Neutral |
PD's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
PD PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.7x | 28x | 72% below |
| PE % | 84 | 35 | 49 pts above |
PD has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over PD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $16.0 | 1.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.5 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $10.7 | 47% above |
| 100 week MA | $13.6 | 16% above |
| 200 week MA | $18.4 | 15% below |
PD's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
PD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $23.3 | $46.1 | +98% |
| 2021 | $46.1 | $36.2 | -22% |
| 2022 | $36.2 | $26.6 | -27% |
| 2023 | $26.6 | $23.2 | -13% |
| 2024 | $23.2 | $17.8 | -23% |
| 2025 | $17.8 | $13.2 | -26% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.2 | $15.7 | +19% |
PD has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.