MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over PAYO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
PAYO
Payoneer Global Inc.
PAYO's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
PAYO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
PAYO's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over PAYO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PAYO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 23x | $3.24 | -55% |
| Fair | 30x | $4.17 | -42% |
| Forward | 31x | $7.18 | — |
| Expensive | 51x | $7.15 | -0.4% |
| Current | 51x | $7.18 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PAYO's PE is in its expensive range at 51x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 31x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
PAYO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PAYO, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over PAYO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PAYO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.23 | +65% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.14 | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.14 | -42% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.20 | -29% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.19 | -39% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.17 | -51% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.24 | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.28 | -6.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.31 | +29% |
PAYO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.14 over the past year, against $0.35 in late 2024.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over PAYO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over PAYO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PAYO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $276.9M | +2.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $274.3M | +5.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $261.6M | +6.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $274.7M | +4.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $270.9M | +9.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $260.6M | +8.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $246.6M | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $261.7M | +17% |
PAYO's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $277M last quarter, up 2.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.1% | -4.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.2% | -5.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | -0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 13% | -0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | -7.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | -4.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -0.3 points |
PAYO's operating margin was 9.1% last quarter, down 4.4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
PAYO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $62.9M | +28% |
| Q2 2026 | $50.2M | -26% |
| Q1 2026 | $41.7M | -15% |
| Q4 2025 | $40.3M | -4.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $49.2M | +1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $68.1M | +69% |
| Q1 2025 | $49M | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.1M | -22% |
PAYO has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
PAYO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.7% | +12.6M shares |
| 1 year | -7.3% | -27.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.3% | -31.8M shares |
| 5 years | +3% | +10.3M shares |
| Available history | +3.5% | +11.7M shares |
PAYO has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $146,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $17.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $75M |
| Q4 2025 | $78.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $45.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $32M |
| Q1 2025 | $17.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $17.1M |
PAYO spent $171M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 53% from the year before.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
PAYO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
PAYO has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
PAYO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 65.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 73.8 | Neutral |
PAYO's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over PAYO on valuation relative to its sector.
PAYO PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PAYO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 51x | 28x | 84% above |
| PE % | 86 | 38 | 48 pts above |
PAYO is trading at 51x earnings, a 84% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
PAYO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $7.15 | 0.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $7.13 | 0.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $6.11 | 18% above |
| 100 week MA | $6.72 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $6.36 | 13% above |
PAYO has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
PAYO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.68 | $10.3 | +6.1% |
| 2021 | $10.3 | $6.89 | -33% |
| 2022 | $6.89 | $5.08 | -26% |
| 2023 | $5.08 | $5.21 | +2.6% |
| 2024 | $5.21 | $10.0 | +92% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $5.71 | -43% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.71 | $7.18 | +26% |
PAYO has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.