MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over PATH overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
PATH
UiPath Inc.
PATH offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
PATH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
PATH's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
PATH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 15x | $13.10 | — |
| Cheap | 20x | $13.08 | -0.2% |
| Current | 20x | $13.10 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $15.26 | +16% |
| Expensive | 403x | $270 | +1960% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PATH has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
PATH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
PATH has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
PATH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.88 | +31% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.67 | +2133% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.60 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.52 | +$0.65 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.42 | +$0.57 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.03 | +$0.22 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.12 | +$0.03 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.13 | +$0.03 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.15 | +$0.13 |
PATH's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.67 over the past year, more than ten times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for 18 quarters in a row.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over PATH on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over PATH on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PATH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $410.3M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $418.4M | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $481.1M | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $411.1M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $361.7M | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $356.6M | +6.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $423.6M | +4.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $354.7M | +8.8% |
PATH's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $410M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.7% | +13 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.7% | +11 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +8.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2% | +15 points |
| Q3 2025 | -5.6% | +27 points |
| Q2 2025 | -4.6% | +10 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.9% | +4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | -12% | +4.9 points |
PATH's operating margin was 7.7% last quarter, up 13 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
PATH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $29.3M | -30% |
| Q2 2026 | $129.2M | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $179.3M | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $25.1M | +8.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $41.6M | -7.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $106.2M | +7.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $138.7M | -2.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $23.2M | -44% |
PATH has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
PATH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.9% | -4.8M shares |
| 1 year | -3.7% | -19.9M shares |
| 3 years | -7.1% | -39.9M shares |
| 5 years | -0.7% | -3.5M shares |
| Available history | +6.3% | +30.9M shares |
PATH has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $243.8M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $101.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $227.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $9.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $162.7M |
PATH spent $269M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 46% from the year before.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
PATH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -11.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -29.4x | Net Cash |
PATH has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
PATH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 24.9 | Neutral |
PATH's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
PATH PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PATH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 28x | 30% below |
| PE % | 20 | 42 | 22 pts below |
PATH has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over PATH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PATH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.2 | 1% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.7 | 4% below |
| 50 week MA | $12.9 | 1.4% above |
| 100 week MA | $12.8 | 2.3% above |
| 200 week MA | $14.8 | 12% below |
PATH's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 12% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over PATH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PATH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $74.8 | $44.4 | -41% |
| 2022 | $44.4 | $12.1 | -73% |
| 2023 | $12.1 | $24.8 | +105% |
| 2024 | $24.8 | $12.9 | -48% |
| 2025 | $12.9 | $16.8 | +31% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.8 | $13.1 | -22% |
PATH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +105% in 2023 to −73% in 2022. It's down 22% so far in 2026.