MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over PAAI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
PAAI
Paradium.AI, Inc.
PAAI trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
PAAI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
PAAI's cash flow is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
PAAI PE Valuation
PAAI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
PAAI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong decline | |
| Decline | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| -- |
Analysts expect PAAI's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability holding steady.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over PAAI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
PAAI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.01 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.02 | -101% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.20 | -92% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.48 | +2656% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.62 | +$6.52 |
| Q3 2025 | $2.68 | +$6.85 |
| Q2 2025 | $2.65 | +$7.41 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.09 | +$5.45 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.90 | -$1.41 |
PAAI has swung to a loss: it lost $0.02 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over PAAI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over PAAI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PAAI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.5M | -31% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.2M | -51% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.4M | -36% |
| Q4 2025 | $28.2M | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $29.8M | -11% |
| Q2 2025 | $45M | +66% |
| Q1 2025 | $31.8M | +9.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $36.2M | -49% |
PAAI's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $21M last quarter, down 31% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -4.5% | -36 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | -26 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.5% | -25 points |
| Q4 2025 | 27% | -1.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +7.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 36% | +46 points |
| Q1 2025 | 23% | +51 points |
| Q4 2024 | 29% | +29 points |
PAAI's operating margin was −4.5% last quarter, down 36 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
PAAI has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 347% versus its history, compared with MSFT at down 7.4%.
PAAI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | $2M | -46% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.1M | +$21.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $12.2M | +$14.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7M | +$5.6M |
| Q4 2024 | -$8.6M | -$6.1M |
| Q4 2023 | -$2.5M | -176% |
| Q4 2022 | $3.3M | +$9.8M |
| Q3 2022 | -$7.3M | -569% |
PAAI's free cash flow has turned positive after five years mostly in the red: $27M over the past year.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over PAAI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
PAAI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +112K shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -84.5K shares |
| 3 years | +116% | +25.5M shares |
| 5 years | +355% | +37.2M shares |
| Available history | +2725% | +45.9M shares |
PAAI has 48M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over PAAI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PAAI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.2x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 4.0x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 9.2x | High |
PAAI's net debt is about 7.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
PAAI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.6 | Oversold |
PAAI's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
PAAI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PAAI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.5x | 28x | 84% below |
| PE % | 68 | 35 | 33 pts above |
PAAI has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over PAAI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PAAI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.00 | 39% below |
| 20 week MA | $1.06 | 42% below |
| 50 week MA | $2.09 | 71% below |
| 100 week MA | $3.15 | 81% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.97 | 79% below |
PAAI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over PAAI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PAAI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $16.7 | $13.0 | -22% |
| 2021 | $13.0 | $14.3 | +10% |
| 2022 | $14.3 | $9.40 | -34% |
| 2023 | $9.40 | $2.38 | -75% |
| 2024 | $2.38 | $1.38 | -42% |
| 2025 | $1.38 | $4.18 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.18 | $0.61 | -85% |
PAAI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +203% in 2025 to −75% in 2023. It's down 85% so far in 2026.