MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
P
Everpure, Inc.
P has a slight edge over MSFT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
P Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
P's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over P in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
P PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $110 | — |
| Cheap | 127x | $92.36 | -16% |
| Current | 151x | $110 | — |
| Fair | 173x | $126 | +14% |
| Expensive | 300x | $219 | +99% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
P's PE is in its cheap range at 151x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
P Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
P has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
P Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.63 | +397% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.73 | +74% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.66 | +74% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.55 | +77% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | -2.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.42 | 0% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.38 | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.31 | +63% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.40 | +90% |
P earned $0.73 per share over the past year, up 74% from the year before.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over P on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over P on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
P Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $964.5M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $861M | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $778.5M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $879.8M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $831.1M | +8.9% |
P's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $1.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.3% | +4.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.9% | +5.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2% | +3.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.6% | -1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | -4% | +2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.8% | -2.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.2% | -2.6 points |
P's operating margin was 5.3% last quarter, up 4.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
P Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$237.6M | -258% |
| Q2 2026 | $111.8M | -47% |
| Q1 2026 | $201.4M | +32% |
| Q4 2025 | $52.6M | +49% |
| Q3 2025 | $150.1M | -9.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $211.6M | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | $152.4M | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.2M | -69% |
P usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$238M, but it generated $128M over the past year.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over P on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
P Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +2.1M shares |
| 1 year | +2.3% | +7.9M shares |
| 3 years | +12% | +36.1M shares |
| 5 years | +22% | +61.7M shares |
| Available history | +35% | +90.5M shares |
P has 346M diluted shares, up 2.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $69M |
| Q2 2026 | $84.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $127.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $53.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $42.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $119.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $192M |
| Q4 2024 | $182M |
P spent $334M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 38% from the year before.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
P Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -4.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -4.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.6x | Net Cash |
P has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
P Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 40.7 | Neutral |
P's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over P on valuation relative to its sector.
P PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | P | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 151x | 28x | 441% above |
| PE % | 31 | 35 | 4 pts below |
P is trading at 151x earnings, a 441% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
P Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $125.2 | 12% below |
| 20 week MA | $104.4 | 5.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $83.8 | 31% above |
| 100 week MA | $74.2 | 48% above |
| 200 week MA | $58.5 | 88% above |
P's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 88% above its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
P Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $17.2 | $24.0 | +39% |
| 2021 | $24.0 | $33.3 | +39% |
| 2022 | $33.3 | $26.7 | -20% |
| 2023 | $26.7 | $35.7 | +34% |
| 2024 | $35.7 | $63.7 | +78% |
| 2025 | $63.7 | $69.3 | +8.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $69.3 | $110.1 | +59% |
P has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.