MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over OSS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

OSS

One Stop Systems, Inc.

32
Fundamentals25/ 100
Valuation11/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential54/ 100

OSS's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

OSS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak
Strong

OSS's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over OSS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

OSS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x71x106x142x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x71x106x142x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap30x$2.10-56%
Fair46x$3.22-32%
Current67x$4.72—
Expensive80x$5.62+19%
Forward189x$4.72—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSS's PE is in its expensive range at 67x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 189x.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

OSS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect OSS to return to profit, with revenue growing.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$6.70
Downside-54%$2.17

Calculated from the latest close: $4.72 on Nov 12.

OSS trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over OSS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.32Q1 2024: $-0.36Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.49Q4 2024: $-0.65Q1 2025: $-0.68Q2 2025: $-0.66Q3 2025: $-0.33Q4 2025: $0.23Q1 2026: $0.30Q2 2026: $0.10Q3 2026: $0.07Forward: $0.02
Q4 2023: $-0.32Q1 2024: $-0.36Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.49Q4 2024: $-0.65Q1 2025: $-0.68Q2 2025: $-0.66Q3 2025: $-0.33Q4 2025: $0.23Q1 2026: $0.30Q2 2026: $0.10Q3 2026: $0.07Forward: $0.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.02-64%
Q3 2026$0.07+$0.40
Q2 2026$0.10+$0.76
Q1 2026$0.30+$0.98
Q4 2025$0.23+$0.88
Q3 2025-$0.33+$0.16
Q2 2025-$0.66-$0.31
Q1 2025-$0.68-$0.32
Q4 2024-$0.65-$0.33

OSS has returned to profit: it earned $0.07 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over OSS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: −$13MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $13M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: −$13MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $13M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.6M-33%
Q2 2026$9.3M-34%
Q1 2026$8.1M-34%
Q3 2025$18.8M+37%
Q2 2025$14.1M+6.9%
Q1 2025$12.3M-3.1%
Q4 2024$15.1M+15%
Q3 2024$13.7M-0.3%

OSS's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $13M last quarter, down 33% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over OSS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

OSS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: −$853,562Q3 2024: $822,108Q4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$529,240Q3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: −$1MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: −$12M
Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: −$853,562Q3 2024: $822,108Q4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$529,240Q3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: −$1MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: −$12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$11.9M-$8.2M
Q2 2026-$4.8M-$4.3M
Q1 2026$4M+$5.2M
Q4 2025-$1M+$1.3M
Q3 2025-$3.7M-552%
Q2 2025-$529.2K+$324.3K
Q1 2025-$1.1M-161%
Q4 2024-$2.3M-$1.2M

OSS has burned cash in most quarters: −$14M over the past year, against −$8M the year before.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over OSS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+152K shares
1 year+9.4%+2.2M shares
3 years+22%+4.4M shares
5 years+25%+5M shares
Available history+65%+9.8M shares

OSS has 25M diluted shares, up 9.4% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

OSS Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2023-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 20220.1xVery low
Q3 20220.0xVery low
Q2 20220.2xVery low
Q1 2022-0.0xVery low
Q4 2021-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 20210.1xVery low
Q2 20210.1xVery low

OSS has more cash than debt.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

OSS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.9Oversold
Stochastic4.8Oversold

OSS's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over OSS on valuation relative to its sector.

OSS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricOSSSector medianRelative
PE67x28x142% above
PE %703535 pts above

OSS is trading at 67x earnings, a 142% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over OSS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OSS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.4627% below
20 week MA$9.7752% below
50 week MA$10.555% below
100 week MA$7.2935% below
200 week MA$4.893.5% below

OSS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 3.5% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over OSS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OSS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.85$3.69+99%
2021$3.69$4.64+26%
2022$4.64$2.93-37%
2023$2.93$2.10-28%
2024$2.10$3.38+61%
2025$3.38$7.19+113%
2026 YTD$7.19$4.72-34%

OSS is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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