MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over OSPN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
OSPN
OneSpan Inc.
OSPN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
OSPN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
OSPN's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over OSPN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
OSPN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.3x | $15.07 | -33% |
| Current | 12x | $22.43 | — |
| Forward | 17x | $22.43 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $40.90 | +82% |
| Expensive | 80x | $146 | +549% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
OSPN's PE is in its fair range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 17x.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
OSPN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OSPN, with profitability improving.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
OSPN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.34 | -26% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.81 | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.78 | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.81 | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.88 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.48 | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.52 | +253% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.48 | +$1.66 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +$2.20 |
OSPN's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.81 over the past year, up 22% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over OSPN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over OSPN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
OSPN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $63.9M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $60.5M | +1% |
| Q1 2026 | $65.9M | +4.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $62.9M | +2.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $57.1M | +1.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $59.8M | -1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $63.4M | -2.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $61.2M | -2.8% |
OSPN's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $64M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | -3.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | -4.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | +5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 27% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +16 points |
OSPN's operating margin was 14% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
OSPN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.3M | +51% |
| Q2 2026 | -$3.3M | -175% |
| Q1 2026 | $25.1M | -9.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.6M | -7.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.8M | -27% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.4M | +16669% |
| Q1 2025 | $27.7M | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.5M | +$10.8M |
OSPN has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over OSPN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
OSPN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.4% | +897K shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +271K shares |
| 3 years | -3.5% | -1.4M shares |
| 5 years | -2.5% | -989K shares |
OSPN has 39M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago, despite $15M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $2.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $5.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $6.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $3,000 |
| Q4 2023 | $25.6M |
| Q3 2023 | $3.5M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
OSPN spent $15M buying back its own shares over the past year.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
OSPN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
OSPN has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
OSPN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 66.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 65.9 | Neutral |
OSPN's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
OSPN PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | OSPN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 28x | 56% below |
| PE % | 48 | 35 | 13 pts above |
OSPN has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
OSPN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $20.2 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $17.7 | 27% above |
| 50 week MA | $14.3 | 57% above |
| 100 week MA | $15.1 | 49% above |
| 200 week MA | $14.2 | 58% above |
OSPN has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
OSPN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $17.2 | $21.3 | +24% |
| 2021 | $21.3 | $16.9 | -21% |
| 2022 | $16.9 | $11.5 | -32% |
| 2023 | $11.5 | $10.7 | -7% |
| 2024 | $10.7 | $18.8 | +75% |
| 2025 | $18.8 | $12.9 | -31% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.9 | $22.4 | +74% |
OSPN has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.