MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over OSIS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

OSIS

OSI Systems, Inc.

55
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

OSIS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

OSIS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

OSIS's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over OSIS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

OSIS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.1x18x27x36x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.1x18x27x36x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$160-18%
Forward17x$196—
Current21x$196—
Fair22x$206+5%
Expensive28x$257+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSIS's PE is in its fair range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

OSIS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OSIS, with profitability holding steady.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSIS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSIS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$256.65
Downside-17%$162.06

Calculated from the latest close: $195.95 on Nov 12.

OSIS trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over OSIS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

OSIS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.59Q1 2024: $7.27Q2 2024: $7.36Q3 2024: $7.66Q4 2024: $7.77Q1 2025: $8.22Q2 2025: $8.70Q3 2025: $8.83Q4 2025: $8.83Q1 2026: $8.76Q2 2026: $9.00Q3 2026: $9.33Forward: $11.75
Q4 2023: $6.59Q1 2024: $7.27Q2 2024: $7.36Q3 2024: $7.66Q4 2024: $7.77Q1 2025: $8.22Q2 2025: $8.70Q3 2025: $8.83Q4 2025: $8.83Q1 2026: $8.76Q2 2026: $9.00Q3 2026: $9.33Forward: $11.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.75+26%
Q3 2026$9.33+5.7%
Q2 2026$9.00+3.4%
Q1 2026$8.76+6.6%
Q4 2025$8.83+14%
Q3 2025$8.83+15%
Q2 2025$8.70+18%
Q1 2025$8.22+13%
Q4 2024$7.77+18%

OSIS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $9.33 over the past year, up 5.7% from the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over OSIS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSIS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $373MQ1 2024: $405MQ2 2024: $481MQ3 2024: $344MQ4 2024: $420MQ1 2025: $444MQ2 2025: $505MQ3 2025: $385MQ4 2025: $464MQ1 2026: $453MQ2 2026: $484MQ3 2026: $403M
Q4 2023: $373MQ1 2024: $405MQ2 2024: $481MQ3 2024: $344MQ4 2024: $420MQ1 2025: $444MQ2 2025: $505MQ3 2025: $385MQ4 2025: $464MQ1 2026: $453MQ2 2026: $484MQ3 2026: $403M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$403.5M+4.9%
Q2 2026$484.1M-4.1%
Q1 2026$453.2M+2%
Q4 2025$464.1M+11%
Q3 2025$384.6M+12%
Q2 2025$505M+5%
Q1 2025$444.4M+9.6%
Q4 2024$419.8M+12%

OSIS's revenue fell from its 2025 peak and has held roughly level since: $403M last quarter, up 4.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

OSIS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$27MQ1 2024: −$57MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$45MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $77MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $173MQ3 2026: $29M
Q4 2023: −$27MQ1 2024: −$57MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$45MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $77MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $173MQ3 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$29.4M+191%
Q2 2026$172.8M+$178.4M
Q1 2026$6.9M-91%
Q4 2025$55.5M+18%
Q3 2025$10.1M+$55M
Q2 2025-$5.6M+$32M
Q1 2025$77.1M+$134.1M
Q4 2024$47.1M+$74M

OSIS has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

OSIS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 17MQ3 2025: 17MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17MQ3 2026: 16M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 17MQ3 2025: 17MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17MQ3 2026: 16M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-5.9%-1M shares
1 year-7%-1.2M shares
3 years-5.4%-923K shares
5 years-11%-2.1M shares
Available history-13%-2.4M shares

OSIS has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over OSIS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

OSIS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20262.5xModerate
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.5xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

OSIS's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

OSIS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.7Neutral
Stochastic20.0Oversold

OSIS's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

OSIS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricOSISSector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %43358 pts above

OSIS has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over OSIS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OSIS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$196.60.4% below
20 week MA$207.35.5% below
50 week MA$238.918% below
100 week MA$228.514% below
200 week MA$178.010% above

OSIS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 10% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over OSIS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OSIS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.2$93.1-8%
2021$93.1$92.3-0.9%
2022$92.3$79.6-14%
2023$79.6$129.1+62%
2024$129.1$171.4+33%
2025$171.4$269.8+57%
2026 YTD$269.8$196.0-27%

OSIS has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 27% so far in 2026.

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