MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over OPFI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
OPFI
OppFi Inc.
OPFI trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
OPFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
OPFI's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its balance sheet is stable, but its revenue is under pressure.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over OPFI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
OPFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 2.3x | $5.91 | — |
| Cheap | 4x | $10.45 | +77% |
| Forward | 4x | $5.91 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $89.45 | +1414% |
| Expensive | 127x | $333 | +5529% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
OPFI's PE is in its cheap range at 2.3x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 4.0x.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
MSFT has the edge over OPFI on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
OPFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect OPFI's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over OPFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
OPFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.47 | -44% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.62 | +$3.22 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.99 | +$4.15 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.03 | +$2.25 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.99 | +175% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.60 | -600% |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.16 | -3000% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.22 | -1200% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.36 | +$0.42 |
OPFI has returned to profit: it earned $2.62 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over OPFI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over OPFI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
OPFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.8M | -11% |
| Q2 2026 | $86.2M | -14% |
| Q1 2026 | $87.3M | -3.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $85.6M | +5.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $104.6M | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $100.2M | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $90.8M | +44% |
| Q4 2024 | $80.8M | +23% |
OPFI's revenue is shrinking: $93M last quarter, down 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -6.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 28% | -16 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | -6.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 36% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 46% | +7.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 47% | +38 points |
| Q4 2024 | 31% | +17 points |
OPFI's operating margin was 40% last quarter, down 6.4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
OPFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $81.5M | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $87.4M | -3.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $85.6M | +7.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $111.9M | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $99.9M | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $91M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $79.4M | +9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $90.1M | +12% |
OPFI has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over OPFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
OPFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -465K shares |
| 1 year | +222% | +59M shares |
| 3 years | +439% | +69.7M shares |
| 5 years | +1649% | +80.7M shares |
OPFI has 86M diluted shares, up 222% from a year ago, despite $26M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $9.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $8.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $7.4M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $1M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
OPFI spent $26M buying back its own shares over the past year.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over OPFI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
OPFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5x | Moderate |
OPFI's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.6 years a year ago.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
OPFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.0 | Oversold |
OPFI's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
OPFI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | OPFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 2.3x | 28x | 92% below |
| PE % | 8 | 39 | 31 pts below |
OPFI has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over OPFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
OPFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $5.87 | 0.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $7.33 | 19% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.41 | 30% below |
| 100 week MA | $9.61 | 39% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.45 | 8.4% below |
OPFI has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 8.4% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over OPFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
OPFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.85 | $10.2 | +3.7% |
| 2021 | $10.2 | $4.85 | -52% |
| 2022 | $4.85 | $2.13 | -56% |
| 2023 | $2.13 | $5.12 | +140% |
| 2024 | $5.12 | $7.65 | +49% |
| 2025 | $7.65 | $11.1 | +45% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.1 | $5.91 | -47% |
OPFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +140% in 2023 to −56% in 2022. It's down 47% so far in 2026.