MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over ODD overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
ODD
Oddity Tech Ltd.
ODD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ODD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Weak |
ODD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over ODD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ODD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 17x | $4.01 | -76% |
| Forward | 17x | $16.73 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $8.06 | -52% |
| Current | 71x | $16.73 | — |
| Expensive | 140x | $33.57 | +101% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ODD's PE is in its expensive range at 71x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
ODD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
ODD has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over ODD in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
ODD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.00 | +318% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.24 | -87% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.79 | -55% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.80 | +44% |
ODD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.24 over the past year, against $1.80 in mid-2025.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over ODD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ODD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $180.5M | -25% |
| Q1 2026 | $197.9M | -26% |
| Q4 2025 | $152.7M | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $147.9M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $241.1M | +25% |
| Q1 2025 | $268.1M | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $123.6M | +27% |
| Q3 2024 | $119M | +26% |
ODD's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $181M last quarter, down 25% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -0.7% | -24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -13% | -29 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | -4.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 24% | -3.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | -2.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 16% | +9.7 points |
ODD's operating margin was −0.7% last quarter, down 24 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2022.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT has the edge over ODD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ODD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $13.6M | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | -$25.3M | -129% |
| Q4 2025 | -$10.9M | -178% |
| Q3 2025 | -$14.3M | -201% |
| Q2 2025 | $11M | -54% |
| Q1 2025 | $85.9M | +304% |
| Q4 2024 | $14M | +1034% |
| Q3 2024 | $14.1M | +677% |
ODD's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$37M over the past year.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
ODD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -4% | -2.2M shares |
| 1 year | -13% | -8.3M shares |
| 3 years | -4.3% | -2.5M shares |
ODD has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $82.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $80.1M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M |
| Q3 2024 | $36.9M |
ODD spent $163M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 19% from the year before.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over ODD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ODD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 16.2x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
ODD's net debt is about 16 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
ODD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 64.8 | Neutral |
ODD's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over ODD on valuation relative to its sector.
ODD PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ODD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 71x | 28x | 154% above |
| PE % | 73 | 27 | 46 pts above |
ODD is trading at 71x earnings, a 154% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has stronger trend alignment. MSFT is above 4 of 5 weekly averages versus ODD above 0 of 4.
ODD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $20.3 | 18% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.4 | 3.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $20.7 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $37.6 | 55% below |
ODD is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 55% below its 100-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over ODD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ODD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $52.6 | $46.5 | -11% |
| 2024 | $46.5 | $43.6 | -6.4% |
| 2025 | $43.6 | $41.9 | -3.7% |
| 2026 YTD | $41.9 | $16.7 | -60% |
ODD has finished every year since 2023 lower, and it's down 60% so far in 2026.