MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over OCC overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

OCC

Optical Cable Corporation

54
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

OCC trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

OCC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

OCC's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over OCC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

OCC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE50x99x149x199x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE50x99x149x199x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.6x$1.34-88%
Fair6.8x$1.98-82%
Expensive36x$10.34-6.1%
Current38x$11.01—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OCC's PE is in its expensive range at 38x.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

OCC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for OCC to show an outlook.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OCC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OCC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$18.33
Downside-39%$6.69

Calculated from the latest close: $11.01 on Nov 12.

OCC trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over OCC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OCC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.25Q1 2024: $-0.03Q2 2024: $-0.55Q3 2024: $-0.76Q4 2024: $-0.54Q1 2025: $-0.50Q2 2025: $-0.38Q3 2025: $-0.14Q4 2025: $-0.18Q1 2026: $-0.09Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.29
Q4 2023: $0.25Q1 2024: $-0.03Q2 2024: $-0.55Q3 2024: $-0.76Q4 2024: $-0.54Q1 2025: $-0.50Q2 2025: $-0.38Q3 2025: $-0.14Q4 2025: $-0.18Q1 2026: $-0.09Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.29+$0.43
Q2 2026$0.12+$0.50
Q1 2026-$0.09+$0.41
Q4 2025-$0.18+$0.36
Q3 2025-$0.14+$0.62
Q2 2025-$0.38+$0.17
Q1 2025-$0.50-$0.47
Q4 2024-$0.54-316%

OCC has returned to profit: it earned $0.29 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over OCC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

OCC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $24M
Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $24M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.3M+22%
Q2 2026$22.2M+27%
Q1 2026$16.4M+4.4%
Q4 2025$19.8M+1.8%
Q3 2025$19.9M+23%
Q2 2025$17.5M+8.9%
Q1 2025$15.7M+6%
Q4 2024$19.5M+12%

OCC's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $24M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

OCC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $383,893Q1 2024: −$341,461Q2 2024: $218,243Q3 2024: $475,192Q4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $73,393Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $718,841Q1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: −$3MQ3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: $383,893Q1 2024: −$341,461Q2 2024: $218,243Q3 2024: $475,192Q4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $73,393Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $718,841Q1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: −$3MQ3 2026: $1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.3M+$3.6M
Q2 2026-$2.6M-3640%
Q1 2026$1M-60%
Q4 2025$718.8K+$2.3M
Q3 2025-$2.3M-579%
Q2 2025$73.4K-66%
Q1 2025$2.6M+$2.9M
Q4 2024-$1.6M-511%

OCC has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over OCC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OCC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 9MQ3 2026: 9M
Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 9MQ3 2026: 9M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+2.9K shares
1 year+5.2%+440K shares
3 years+12%+968K shares
5 years+17%+1.3M shares
Available history+20%+1.4M shares

OCC has 9M diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over OCC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

OCC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ3 2025: 7.8xQ4 2025: 15.2xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 1.4x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ3 2025: 7.8xQ4 2025: 15.2xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20262.7xModerate
Q1 20264.5xHigh
Q4 202515.2xHigh
Q3 20257.8xHigh
Q4 20230.6xVery low
Q3 20230.9xVery low
Q2 20230.9xVery low

OCC's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.8 years a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

OCC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic11.3Oversold

OCC's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over OCC on valuation relative to its sector.

OCC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricOCCSector medianRelative
PE38x28x36% above
PE %833548 pts above

OCC is trading at 38x earnings, a 36% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over OCC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OCC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.116% below
20 week MA$14.323% below
50 week MA$11.32.8% below
100 week MA$8.1835% above
200 week MA$5.6794% above

OCC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 94% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

OCC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.32$2.78-16%
2021$2.78$4.85+74%
2022$4.85$4.36-10%
2023$4.36$2.70-38%
2024$2.70$3.84+42%
2025$3.84$4.42+15%
2026 YTD$4.42$11.0+149%

OCC has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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