MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over NXT overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
NXT
Nextpower Inc.
NXT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NXT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NXT's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over NXT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NXT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $59.80 | -36% |
| Forward | 19x | $93.60 | — |
| Fair | 22x | $88.88 | -5% |
| Current | 24x | $93.60 | — |
| Expensive | 29x | $117 | +25% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NXT's PE is in its fair range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
MSFT has the edge over NXT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
NXT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NXT, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over NXT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NXT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.98 | +25% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.98 | +3.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.87 | +5.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.84 | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.91 | -0.8% |
| Q4 2022 | $2.29 | +29% |
| Q3 2022 | $1.66 | -24% |
| Q2 2022 | $1.36 | -47% |
| Q1 2022 | $1.14 | -59% |
NXT earned $3.98 per share over the past year, up 3.4% from the year before.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over NXT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NXT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $935.2M | +8.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $880.5M | -4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $909.4M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $905.3M | +42% |
| Q2 2025 | $864.3M | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $924.3M | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $679.4M | -4.4% |
NXT's revenue is growing: $1.1B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 20% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | -3.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 19% | -2.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 22% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 21% | -16 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +1.2 points |
NXT's operating margin was 19% last quarter, down 1.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
NXT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $135M | -21% |
| Q2 2026 | $105.2M | +50% |
| Q1 2026 | $153.6M | -32% |
| Q4 2025 | $118.5M | -12% |
| Q3 2025 | $171.4M | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $70.1M | -41% |
| Q1 2025 | $227.2M | +108% |
| Q4 2024 | $134.9M | +116% |
NXT has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over NXT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
NXT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -1.2M shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +1.9M shares |
| 3 years | +5.5% | +8.1M shares |
| 5 years | +265% | +112M shares |
NXT has 154M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
NXT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
NXT has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
NXT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.1 | Neutral |
NXT's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
NXT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NXT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 28x | 16% below |
| PE % | 56 | 35 | 21 pts above |
NXT has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has stronger trend alignment. MSFT is above 4 of 5 weekly averages versus NXT above 3 of 4.
NXT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $86.0 | 8.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $91.5 | 2.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $104.7 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $82.1 | 14% above |
NXT's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 14% above its 100-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over NXT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NXT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $31.0 | $46.9 | +51% |
| 2024 | $46.9 | $37.2 | -21% |
| 2025 | $37.2 | $91.2 | +145% |
| 2026 YTD | $91.2 | $93.6 | +2.6% |
NXT has finished higher in two of the last three years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 2.6% so far in 2026.