MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over NTNX overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

NTNX

Nutanix, Inc.

64
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

NTNX's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NTNX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

NTNX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

NTNX PE Valuation

NTNX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

NTNX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

NTNX has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NTNX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NTNX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$88.11
Downside-29%$42.92

Calculated from the latest close: $60.87 on Nov 12.

NTNX trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 36% for MSFT versus NTNX down 83%.

NTNX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.30Q2 2024: $-0.06Q3 2024: $-0.51Q4 2024: $-0.34Q1 2025: $-0.27Q2 2025: $0.01Forward: $2.36
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.30Q2 2024: $-0.06Q3 2024: $-0.51Q4 2024: $-0.34Q1 2025: $-0.27Q2 2025: $0.01Forward: $2.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.36+23489%
Q2 2025$0.01+$0.07
Q1 2025-$0.27+$0.03
Q4 2024-$0.34+$0.39
Q3 2024-$0.51+$0.58
Q2 2024-$0.06+$1.62
Q1 2024-$0.30+$1.58
Q4 2023-$0.73+$1.37
Q3 2023-$1.09+$2.53

NTNX has returned to profit: it earned $0.01 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over NTNX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NTNX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $511MQ1 2024: $565MQ2 2024: $525MQ3 2024: $548MQ4 2024: $591MQ1 2025: $655MQ2 2025: $639MQ3 2025: $653MQ4 2025: $671MQ1 2026: $723MQ2 2026: $703MQ3 2026: $757M
Q4 2023: $511MQ1 2024: $565MQ2 2024: $525MQ3 2024: $548MQ4 2024: $591MQ1 2025: $655MQ2 2025: $639MQ3 2025: $653MQ4 2025: $671MQ1 2026: $723MQ2 2026: $703MQ3 2026: $757M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$757.1M+16%
Q2 2026$703.1M+10%
Q1 2026$722.8M+10%
Q4 2025$670.6M+13%
Q3 2025$653.3M+19%
Q2 2025$639M+22%
Q1 2025$654.7M+16%
Q4 2024$591M+16%

NTNX's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $757M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

NTNX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $132MQ1 2024: $163MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $224MQ4 2024: $152MQ1 2025: $187MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $208MQ4 2025: $175MQ1 2026: $191MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $278M
Q4 2023: $132MQ1 2024: $163MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $224MQ4 2024: $152MQ1 2025: $187MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $208MQ4 2025: $175MQ1 2026: $191MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $278M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$277.6M+34%
Q2 2026$197.2M-3.1%
Q1 2026$191.4M+2.3%
Q4 2025$174.5M+15%
Q3 2025$207.8M-7.3%
Q2 2025$203.4M+160%
Q1 2025$187.1M+15%
Q4 2024$151.9M+15%

NTNX has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over NTNX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NTNX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 241MQ1 2024: 299MQ2 2024: 246M
Q4 2023: 241MQ1 2024: 299MQ2 2024: 246M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-18%-52.8M shares
1 year+6%+13.8M shares
3 years+21%+42.7M shares

NTNX has 246M diluted shares, up 6% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over NTNX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NTNX Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 16.5xQ2 2024: 8.4xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q1 2024: 16.5xQ2 2024: 8.4xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash

NTNX's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.3 years a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

NTNX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.4Neutral
Stochastic25.2Neutral

NTNX's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NTNX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNTNXSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

NTNX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over NTNX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NTNX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$67.49.6% below
20 week MA$64.25.2% below
50 week MA$52.416% above
100 week MA$61.20.6% below
200 week MA$53.614% above

NTNX's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 14% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

NTNX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.7$33.2+4.7%
2021$33.2$32.5-2.3%
2022$32.5$25.7-21%
2023$25.7$47.7+86%
2024$47.7$62.5+31%
2025$62.5$52.8-15%
2026 YTD$52.8$60.9+15%

NTNX has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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