MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over NTGR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

NTGR

NETGEAR, Inc.

48
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NTGR trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NTGR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

NTGR's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

NTGR PE Valuation

NTGR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

NTGR Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for NTGR to show an outlook.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NTGR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NTGR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$27.22
Downside-26%$14.87

Calculated from the latest close: $20.09 on Nov 12.

NTGR trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over NTGR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NTGR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.57Q1 2024: $-3.87Q2 2024: $-5.14Q3 2024: $0.63Q4 2024: $0.42Q1 2025: $0.84Q2 2025: $2.18Q3 2025: $-0.89Q4 2025: $-0.63Q1 2026: $-0.89Q2 2026: $-0.94Q3 2026: $-1.22
Q4 2023: $-3.57Q1 2024: $-3.87Q2 2024: $-5.14Q3 2024: $0.63Q4 2024: $0.42Q1 2025: $0.84Q2 2025: $2.18Q3 2025: $-0.89Q4 2025: $-0.63Q1 2026: $-0.89Q2 2026: $-0.94Q3 2026: $-1.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.22-$0.33
Q2 2026-$0.94-143%
Q1 2026-$0.89-206%
Q4 2025-$0.63-250%
Q3 2025-$0.89-241%
Q2 2025$2.18+$7.32
Q1 2025$0.84+$4.71
Q4 2024$0.42+$3.99

NTGR is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.22 per share over the past year, against $5.14 at its worst in mid-2024.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over NTGR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NTGR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $189MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $144MQ3 2024: $183MQ4 2024: $182MQ1 2025: $162MQ2 2025: $171MQ3 2025: $185MQ4 2025: $182MQ1 2026: $159MQ2 2026: $169MQ3 2026: $167M
Q4 2023: $189MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $144MQ3 2024: $183MQ4 2024: $182MQ1 2025: $162MQ2 2025: $171MQ3 2025: $185MQ4 2025: $182MQ1 2026: $159MQ2 2026: $169MQ3 2026: $167M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$167.3M-9.3%
Q2 2026$168.6M-1.2%
Q1 2026$158.8M-2%
Q4 2025$182.5M0%
Q3 2025$184.6M+0.9%
Q2 2025$170.5M+19%
Q1 2025$162.1M-1.5%
Q4 2024$182.4M-3.3%

NTGR's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $167M last quarter, down 9.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over NTGR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

NTGR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$12MQ3 2026: −$5M
Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$12MQ3 2026: −$5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$5.2M+$11.9M
Q2 2026-$11.6M-$6.3M
Q1 2026-$2.2M+$8M
Q4 2025$13.6M-28%
Q3 2025-$17.1M-116%
Q2 2025-$5.3M-133%
Q1 2025-$10.1M-169%
Q4 2024$19M-65%

NTGR has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$5M over the past year, against −$14M the year before.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NTGR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+16K shares
1 year-5.5%-1.6M shares
3 years-8.4%-2.5M shares
5 years-12%-3.7M shares
Available history-15%-4.9M shares

NTGR has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NTGR Net Leverage

Q3 2024: -8.9xQ4 2024: -15.3xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ2 2025: -3.7x
Q3 2024: -8.9xQ4 2024: -15.3xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ2 2025: -3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2025-3.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-15.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-8.9xNet Cash
Q4 2021-3.3xNet Cash
Q3 2021-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2021-2.4xNet Cash
Q1 2021-2.9xNet Cash

NTGR has more cash than debt.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

NTGR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic23.9Neutral

NTGR's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NTGR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNTGRSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

NTGR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over NTGR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NTGR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.98.3% below
20 week MA$22.310% below
50 week MA$23.013% below
100 week MA$25.321% below
200 week MA$20.52.2% below

NTGR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 2.2% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over NTGR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NTGR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.5$37.0+51%
2021$37.0$29.1-21%
2022$29.1$18.0-38%
2023$18.0$14.6-19%
2024$14.6$28.1+93%
2025$28.1$24.6-12%
2026 YTD$24.6$20.1-18%

NTGR has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 18% so far in 2026.

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