MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over NRDY overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

NRDY

Nerdy, Inc.

50
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

NRDY trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NRDY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

NRDY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

NRDY PE Valuation

NRDY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

NRDY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect NRDY's losses to shrink, with revenue declining.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NRDY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NRDY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$8.89
Downside-34%$3.88

Calculated from the latest close: $5.88 on Nov 12.

NRDY trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over NRDY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NRDY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.15Q1 2024: $-4.05Q2 2024: $-4.80Q3 2024: $-4.95Q4 2024: $-5.70Q1 2025: $-6.00Q2 2025: $-5.85Q3 2025: $-5.25Q4 2025: $-4.95Q1 2026: $-4.05Q2 2026: $-3.60Q3 2026: $-3.11
Q4 2023: $-6.15Q1 2024: $-4.05Q2 2024: $-4.80Q3 2024: $-4.95Q4 2024: $-5.70Q1 2025: $-6.00Q2 2025: $-5.85Q3 2025: $-5.25Q4 2025: $-4.95Q1 2026: $-4.05Q2 2026: $-3.60Q3 2026: $-3.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.11+$2.14
Q2 2026-$3.60+$2.25
Q1 2026-$4.05+$1.95
Q4 2025-$4.95+$0.75
Q3 2025-$5.25-$0.30
Q2 2025-$5.85-$1.05
Q1 2025-$6.00-$1.95
Q4 2024-$5.70+$0.45

NRDY is still losing money, but far less than before: $3.11 per share over the past year, against $7.95 at its worst in mid-2023.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over NRDY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NRDY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: $48MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: $45MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $33M
Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: $48MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: $45MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $33M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$33.2M-10%
Q2 2026$43.2M-4.5%
Q1 2026$48.7M+2.4%
Q4 2025$49.1M+2.3%
Q3 2025$37M-1.4%
Q2 2025$45.3M-11%
Q1 2025$47.6M-11%
Q4 2024$48M-13%

NRDY's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $33M last quarter, down 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over NRDY on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

NRDY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: −$4MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: −$6M
Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: −$4MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: −$6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$5.9M-$1.8M
Q2 2026-$6.3M+$1.9M
Q1 2026-$3M+$4.7M
Q4 2025-$4.3M+$8.2M
Q3 2025-$4.1M+$856K
Q2 2025-$8.2M-$1.1M
Q1 2025-$7.6M-457%
Q4 2024-$12.5M-$4.5M

NRDY has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$19M over the past year, against −$32M the year before.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over NRDY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NRDY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 9M
Q4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 9M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+95.5K shares
1 year+5.1%+410K shares
3 years+32%+2M shares
5 years+61%+3.2M shares

NRDY has 9M diluted shares, up 5.1% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NRDY Net Leverage

NRDY's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

NRDY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI23.9Oversold
Stochastic10.1Oversold

NRDY's weekly RSI is 24 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NRDY PE vs Technology Sector

NRDY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over NRDY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NRDY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.7012% below
20 week MA$9.5238% below
50 week MA$12.553% below
100 week MA$17.366% below
200 week MA$29.380% below

NRDY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 80% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over NRDY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NRDY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$145.5$168.9+16%
2021$168.9$75.5-55%
2022$75.5$30.6-59%
2023$30.6$51.5+68%
2024$51.5$25.2-51%
2025$25.2$16.8-33%
2026 YTD$16.8$5.88-65%

NRDY has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 65% so far in 2026.

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