MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over NOVT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

NOVT

Novanta Inc.

59
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation49/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NOVT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NOVT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Weak

NOVT's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over NOVT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NOVT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x77x115x153x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x77x115x153x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap72x$94.82-19%
Fair86x$113-3.6%
Current89x$117—
Expensive106x$140+19%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NOVT's PE is in its fair range at 89x.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

NOVT Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for NOVT to show an outlook.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NOVT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NOVT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$160.99
Downside-18%$95.79

Calculated from the latest close: $117.42 on Nov 12.

NOVT trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over NOVT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NOVT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.02Q1 2024: $1.92Q2 2024: $1.72Q3 2024: $1.66Q4 2024: $1.77Q1 2025: $1.95Q2 2025: $1.69Q3 2025: $1.46Q4 2025: $1.47Q2 2026: $1.39Q3 2026: $1.57Q4 2026: $1.32
Q4 2023: $2.02Q1 2024: $1.92Q2 2024: $1.72Q3 2024: $1.66Q4 2024: $1.77Q1 2025: $1.95Q2 2025: $1.69Q3 2025: $1.46Q4 2025: $1.47Q2 2026: $1.39Q3 2026: $1.57Q4 2026: $1.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$1.32-9.6%
Q2 2026$1.57-7.1%
Q1 2026$1.39-29%
Q4 2025$1.47-17%
Q3 2025$1.46-12%
Q2 2025$1.69-1.7%
Q1 2025$1.95+1.6%
Q4 2024$1.77-12%

NOVT's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.32 over the past year, against $2.13 in mid-2023.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over NOVT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NOVT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $212MQ1 2024: $231MQ2 2024: $236MQ3 2024: $244MQ4 2024: $238MQ1 2025: $233MQ2 2025: $241MQ3 2025: $248MQ4 2025: $258MQ2 2026: $258MQ3 2026: $266MQ4 2026: $305M
Q4 2023: $212MQ1 2024: $231MQ2 2024: $236MQ3 2024: $244MQ4 2024: $238MQ1 2025: $233MQ2 2025: $241MQ3 2025: $248MQ4 2025: $258MQ2 2026: $258MQ3 2026: $266MQ4 2026: $305M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$305M+23%
Q2 2026$265.8M+10%
Q1 2026$257.7M+10%
Q4 2025$258.3M+8.5%
Q3 2025$247.8M+1.4%
Q2 2025$241M+2.2%
Q1 2025$233.4M+1.1%
Q4 2024$238.1M+13%

NOVT's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $305M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

NOVT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $27MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $5MQ2 2026: $47MQ3 2026: $57MQ4 2026: $30M
Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $27MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $5MQ2 2026: $47MQ3 2026: $57MQ4 2026: $30M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$30.4M+621%
Q2 2026$57.5M+392%
Q1 2026$47.5M+73%
Q4 2025$5.1M-91%
Q3 2025$4.2M-78%
Q2 2025$11.7M-68%
Q1 2025$27.4M+3.7%
Q4 2024$59.3M+81%

NOVT has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over NOVT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NOVT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 36MQ2 2024: 36MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 37MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41MQ4 2026: 43M
Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 36MQ2 2024: 36MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 37MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41MQ4 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.8%+1.5M shares
1 year+19%+6.7M shares
3 years+19%+6.7M shares
5 years+19%+6.9M shares
Available history+20%+7.2M shares

NOVT has 43M diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over NOVT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NOVT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -3.2xQ4 2026: 4.3x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -3.2xQ4 2026: 4.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.3xHigh
Q2 2026-3.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20252.1xModerate
Q1 20251.6xHealthy
Q4 20241.8xHealthy

NOVT's net debt is about 4.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.3 years a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

NOVT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.5Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NOVT's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over NOVT on valuation relative to its sector.

NOVT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNOVTSector medianRelative
PE89x28x219% above
PE %553520 pts above

NOVT is trading at 89x earnings, a 219% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over NOVT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NOVT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$137.815% below
20 week MA$145.119% below
50 week MA$138.915% below
100 week MA$132.311% below
200 week MA$147.520% below

NOVT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over NOVT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NOVT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$89.8$120.8+34%
2021$120.8$173.1+43%
2022$173.1$137.9-20%
2023$137.9$168.4+22%
2024$168.4$154.7-8.1%
2025$154.7$122.7-21%
2026 YTD$122.7$117.4-4.3%

NOVT has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 4.3% so far in 2026.

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