MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over NOK overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

NOK

Nokia Oyj

65
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

NOK's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NOK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

NOK's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

NOK PE Valuation

NOK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

NOK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

NOK has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NOK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NOK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$12.15
Downside-31%$5.71

Calculated from the latest close: $8.28 on Nov 12.

NOK trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over NOK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NOK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.16Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.15Q1 2025: $0.05Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.16Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.15
Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.16Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.15Q1 2025: $0.05Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.16Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.15+67%
Q2 2026$0.14+27%
Q1 2026$0.16+220%
Q4 2025$0.13-13%
Q3 2025$0.09+13%
Q2 2025$0.11+57%
Q1 2025$0.05-69%
Q4 2024$0.15+15%

NOK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.15 over the past year, against $0.85 in early 2023.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over NOK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NOK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.3BQ1 2024: $4.9BQ2 2024: $5BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $6.6BQ1 2025: $4.9BQ2 2025: $5.1BQ3 2025: $5.4BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $5.3BQ3 2026: $5.7B
Q4 2023: $6.3BQ1 2024: $4.9BQ2 2024: $5BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $6.6BQ1 2025: $4.9BQ2 2025: $5.1BQ3 2025: $5.4BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $5.3BQ3 2026: $5.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.7B+6.1%
Q2 2026$5.3B+5.9%
Q1 2026$5B+2.4%
Q4 2025$6.8B+2.4%
Q3 2025$5.4B+12%
Q2 2025$5.1B+1.8%
Q1 2025$4.9B-1.2%
Q4 2024$6.6B+4.9%

NOK's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $5.7B last quarter, up 6.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over NOK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NOK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $754MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: $801MQ2 2025: $98MQ3 2025: $477MQ4 2025: $252MQ1 2026: $699MQ2 2026: −$832MQ3 2026: −$112M
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $754MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: $801MQ2 2025: $98MQ3 2025: $477MQ4 2025: $252MQ1 2026: $699MQ2 2026: −$832MQ3 2026: −$112M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$112M-123%
Q2 2026-$832.1M-951%
Q1 2026$698.8M-13%
Q4 2025$252.2M+354%
Q3 2025$476.6M-37%
Q2 2025$97.8M-78%
Q1 2025$801M-25%
Q4 2024$55.5M-97%

NOK usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$112M, but it generated $7M over the past year.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over NOK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NOK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5.5BQ1 2024: 5.6BQ2 2024: 5.5BQ3 2024: 5.5BQ4 2024: 5.5BQ1 2025: 5.4BQ2 2025: 5.5BQ3 2025: 5.5BQ4 2025: 5.5BQ1 2026: 5.7BQ2 2026: 5.8BQ3 2026: 5.7B
Q4 2023: 5.5BQ1 2024: 5.6BQ2 2024: 5.5BQ3 2024: 5.5BQ4 2024: 5.5BQ1 2025: 5.4BQ2 2025: 5.5BQ3 2025: 5.5BQ4 2025: 5.5BQ1 2026: 5.7BQ2 2026: 5.8BQ3 2026: 5.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-56.5M shares
1 year+4.7%+257M shares
3 years+2.6%+148M shares
5 years+0.9%+54M shares
Available history+2.2%+123M shares

NOK has 5.7B diluted shares, up 4.7% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NOK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

NOK has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

NOK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic18.3Oversold

NOK's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NOK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNOKSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

NOK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over NOK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NOK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.149.4% below
20 week MA$9.9217% below
50 week MA$9.6614% below
100 week MA$7.3513% above
200 week MA$5.6746% above

NOK has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

NOK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.63$3.89+7.2%
2021$3.89$6.19+59%
2022$6.19$4.64-25%
2023$4.64$3.42-26%
2024$3.42$4.48+31%
2025$4.48$6.62+48%
2026 YTD$6.62$8.28+25%

NOK has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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